LMAO at thinking 12-1 OSU is eliminated from the playoffs

I will lay my 2 to your 1 for any amount that 12-1 OSU gets in

This whole discussion is moot.

DUCY

Do you mind, sir, I'm trying to take advantage of someone who called me names here.

Ya I'm not betting against team I root for.

Acc is garbage but I think a one loss Clemson will get the benefit of their previous year's dominance.

Likely doesn't matter as clem and nd win out easily. Then bama and big12 champ gets it or if lsu or Georgia beats bama then it's 2 sec teams.

Ohio State lost just early enough to get in if they win out.

Style points will matter. Urb will have to allow numerous beatings to continue unabated.

I like their chances.

Not only did someone else do it, but they beat the 2 NCG participants to do it.

Florida v Georgia gonna be hyuuuuge

Fla-Uga huge NY6 implications.

Zero playoff implications doe.

URB and his deleted texts get in like 95% of the time if 12-1.

You guys have shorter memories than him, this happens every year. When you string a bunch of low probability events together the chance of all of them happening is also low.

It’s mind-boggingly stupid to think this loss eliminates them. They are 90% to get in at 12-1.

Many people are saying Victor is mind-bottlingly stupid.

Lol, OK Victor. FYI, I also would have accepted, "Because I'm not full-on ******ed." But keep ****ing the chicken if you must.

well Ive explained in detail why, for this particular season, its quite likely they that they dont go. youre whole logic is hurp durp 12-1 osu lifes so not fair they always get in (not last year tho, and not with a goat team in 2015 and only 1 loss).

but here we are.

osu needs a super parlay to get in. even if bama wins out they still need clem or nd to lose and the big12 champ to finish with 2 losses.

if bama happens to lose to lsu or in the sec championship game, then they need 2 out of 3 of clem, nd, losing or big12 champ with 2 losses.

and do they really get in over a 1 loss clem or 1 loss nd? clem has been dominant the last 4 years and is loaded so committee may prefer them ala a 1 loss bama last year with a complete garbage resume and no good wins. nd will have a much better resume assuming their loss isnt a shellacking similar to 49-20.

so even if everything goes perfectly for them, they still dont have a lock resume to get in.

I think it's time to revisit this post I wrote: https://actuarygambler.blogspot.com/...-iowa-was.html

If OSU wins out, they go to the playoffs

A 1-loss Big 10 Champ OSU is getting in almost always

I guess Bama, Clemson, ND and Oklahoma that wins out, including avenging their one close Texas loss could keep OSU out, but the odds of all 4 of those winning out is very low

Like every year, there will be more chaos and more losses

tOSU still basically controls their own Destiny, and may full control it depending on how the committee feels about the big 12

ok rude

We want Bama chants start saturday. Book it

Kentucky is borderline top 50. No joke. I guess I have to add that I saw them play only twice, and I saw six quarters of football with hardly a pass completion or a first down. Scary to think they one OT from undefeated close to November. I realize there are different ways of looking at it, but there are about 50 teams favored over them.

rolls eyes and opens up the archives all the way back to 2015. sees no B1G championship game participation. wonders why we're making this comparison before resigning to dismissive wanking motion.

Clemson's toughest regular season opponent is Duke and ND's isn't much better. Any losses they pick up will be "bad". Polls had you well ahead of them last week when you all had the same record, so yes you'll pass them if they lose given you'd be the one beating ranked opponents down the stretch. Oklahoma is 27% to win out and Texas is 2% (that low number means their probably not going to make it all the way to the CCG with their current ranking), and even in that 29% combined probability you're so scared of there's a decent chance you pass them anyway. Sure you got slaughtered at Purdue but Oklahoma got taken to OT by the US Army at home, and Texas lost to Maryland.

Things might get tight if BOTH Clemson and ND run the table, but that's only a 22% chance and would still leave SEC and *you* with that 29% chance of a Big12 school that would be a consideration. I'm not even going to consider your "2 SEC teams" theory because that's just your paranoia talking (although possibly we could bet on that one!).

*Ohio State wins out
*78% of the time one of Clemson or ND loses. You're in +78%
*of the remaining 22%, 71% of the time no Big12 team ahead of you runs the table, so You're in +15% = 93%
*of the 29% of the time Texas or OK wins out, let's say committee picks you half of the time, so 22% of 29% times 50%, so You're in +3% = 96%

So I've got you as 96% to make it should you win out. I just don't know why you're so glum. Well, other than the raped by Purdue thing.

Mostly he can’t just say OSU isn’t good enough to run the table if they lost to Purdue like that

If they win out they are in almost all the time

But a team losing like that to purdue prolly doesn’t win out

It's becuz it's beyond obvious Ohio State has 0% equity vs Michigan now. Teams that get crushed by Purdue simply don't have a shot vs a Harbaugh team with an elite QB + a suffocating defense. Ohio State had a great run but this is now Michigan's conference until Harbaugh retires.

What would it take for UCF to get in? Obviously win out is a requirement so that they can say they haven't lost in 2 years. Bama winning out and ND losing is required as well. Does another UT + OU loss, a Clemson loss, and tOSU/PSU/Michigan having two teams with 2 losses of the three get there?

Best thing Michigan has going for them is they avoid Purdue. Until the CCG at least.

Glad to see the AP is consistent with the "lose early"

Well they were stronger last year and only ever made it to 12th in the committee's eyes. Think less in terms of specific things they need to happen and more like, "Need only two teams total in P5 to finish with as few as 2 losses. Including ND" since they'll probably find at least one 3-loss team that's "special" enough to put in ahead of you. It's probably more realistic to say "Winning an anti-trust suit." or "A Senator going ape-**** on their behalf like the one from Utah."

We'll see where they have them in 2 weeks. Last year they debuted at #18 behind 4 teams with 2 losses