Quote:
Originally Posted by timotheeeee
I generally agree with the Fischer comments for chess, although Capablanca is up there as far as dominance over peers is concerned. Although Fischer doesn't fall under "literally unbeatable" because he lost individual games, he was just pure dominance. If he wasn't insane, he probably could've held the title from the 60s until well into the Kasparov era. The guy won 20 straight games against the the other best players in the world. That doesn't sound like much compared to some of the other numbers being tossed around in this thread, but I guess you have to know about chess to know how freakish that is.
I forget who said it, but someone compared the 20 straight games to a pitcher throwing back-to-back no hitters in baseball.
Let's take a look at the Vander Meer thing. I think there have been 314 no-hitters in MLB. I wonder how many games/chances there have been in MLB history. First check looks a little over 220,000. Two chances for a no-no in each game. So how many games would be the breaking point for a 50% chance of a back-to-back no-no, kind of rotely, not so much as a function of utter dominance. Vander Meer was not a dominant pitcher. Maybe not in the top 500 or even way more than that dominant pitchers in MLB.
It's been an incredible point of reference over the years, the Vander Meer anomaly. Looking at the stats I don't think it was anything like, say, Mike Scott when he pitched a no-hitter and was like odds on to pitch a 3-hitter or less next time out. Maybe make that 4-hitter. Point being the stuff was near unhittable. Vander Meer wasn't at all. Yet the back-to-back. It's possible that Vander Meer hit a zone there maybe with a scuff ball or spitter that was briefly near unhittable. It's also possible it was pure chance. He did pitch six straight 5-hitters or less, all complete games of course, during that stretch. Also, the second one I just learned was the first ever night game at that field. If you've played at poorly lighted field you get that as a factor. Hard to even field the ball, let alone hit it.
I'll go to my grave saying Mike Scott was on deck with a no-hitter or near no-hitter in that was it '86 NLCS. And it wasn't about randomness. It was near unhittable.
Last edited by FellaGaga-52; 02-02-2022 at 12:06 AM.