NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs 2016 - Page 4 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs 2016

View Poll Results: Who will win the Stanley Cup?

Washington Capitals

15 22.73%

Chicago Blackhawks

13 19.70%

Tampa Bay Lightning

1 1.52%

LA Kings

13 19.70%

Pittsburgh Penguins

6 9.09%

Anaheim Ducks

2 3.03%

New York Rangers

2 3.03%

St. Louis Blues

2 3.03%

San Jose Sharks

3 4.55%

WANGZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

9 13.64%

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04-13-2016 , 11:29 AM

#76

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,419

Sharks are clearly closer to 99-1 instead of 15-1

Quote

04-13-2016 , 11:33 AM

#77

Geddy Lee

Good Ol' Canadian Boy

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 25,371

Caps-Flyers slated to be the best series of the entire playoffs, let alone the first round.

Sent from my SGH-I337M using Tapatalk

Quote

04-13-2016 , 11:36 AM

#78

Geddy Lee

Good Ol' Canadian Boy

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 25,371

Quote:

Originally Posted by NhlNut

That Flyers girl << Flyers Girl (rip)

She got engaged this season, lol.

Confirmed not Mike Richards.

Sent from my SGH-I337M using Tapatalk

Quote

04-13-2016 , 11:41 AM

#79

Steve Yzerman fan

*** VAGOS MAKES GOOD POINTS ***

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 33,019

Quote:

Originally Posted by mjw0586

Is there just one thread for NHL playoffs this year? General discussion thread?

Ya, looks that way.

Pretty sure that 72off and myself did like every GDT over the last couple of years so it's pretty tough to do that every day.

Re: Geddy

Think Rangers/Penguins will be a much more entertaining series than Wash/Philly.

Also St. Louis/Chicago and LA/San Jose say what's up.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 11:51 AM

#80

SenorMuresano

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,221

Yeah, that makes a ton of sense. Is any team an almost 75% favorite to beat another in a series? Flyers 60%? Has the whole world gone crazy?

Quote

04-13-2016 , 11:54 AM

#81

Steve Yzerman fan

*** VAGOS MAKES GOOD POINTS ***

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 33,019

I think Pittsburgh legit but there is no way they are a 3-1 favorite over the Rangers. Goaltending could prove to be huge in that series and those stats completely neglect that component.

St. Louis is a very good team but to say that they are nearly a 2-1 favorite over the defending champs and a team that has been dominant in the post-season all decade seems hard to believe as well.

I love using Corsi stats but to use those as probabilities to win the Stanley Cup seem very flawed.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 12:04 PM

#82

SenorMuresano

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,221

Even if you take the "previous 25 game sample" as gospel, look at the comparison-

How does that translate into 60-40?

Quote

04-13-2016 , 12:05 PM

#83

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,729

Nerd stats still flawed.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 12:08 PM

#84

cwicemvp12

Sergei Bobrovsky!

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 22,495

The most recent predictions posted seem more out of whack than I.M.'s. Not sure if these guys post their methodologies anywhere (maybe I.M. does, but I don't subscribe). Injuries not being accounted for is a major leak, for one.

That being said,

1.) The Rangers have been trash for quite some time.
2.) The stats community has done pretty well with these in the past, and I generally agree with the consensuses that are being developed re: series that are going to be closer/more lopsided than conventional wisdom conveys.

ETA - Yea Murs, I think we are on the same page re: Flyers/Caps.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 12:36 PM

#85

Steve Yzerman fan

*** VAGOS MAKES GOOD POINTS ***

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 33,019

What are your thoughts on St. Louis vs. Chicago cwice?

Quote

04-13-2016 , 12:42 PM

#86

72off

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 67,827

re: Caps/Flyers

seems like a bug in these "only late season matters" models, see as how

1. the Caps haven't played a meaningful game since December or w/e
2. opposite for the Flyers
3. nothing really happened at the trade deadline this year

feels like the Caps should probably still be 60+% to win that series, but i haven't thought about it as much as some of you

Quote:

Originally Posted by mjw0586

Is there just one thread for NHL playoffs this year? General discussion thread?

probably not a need for more than 1, but maybe volume will take a big jump here, guess we'll see

could always add a rolling gameday thread if we need it

Quote

04-13-2016 , 01:49 PM

#87

renodoc

Casino Olympics Champion

Join Date: Feb 2004 Posts: 8,357

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigPoppa

I always sit in the cheap seats (except first ever Preds home game, my kid's 10th b-day, where I splashed out for seats on the glass). Have decided to get some nice seats this year, but can't afford 1st two rows.

So, which would be best tickets of these:

1) 3rd row in corner
2) 3rd row in end
3) Further up on side, lower bowl
4) Front row of club level

Thanks

Will report

Verizon center near top of lower bowl between circle and blue line. (Game 2)

United center row 1 club level at blue line (game 3)

Anyone going? Always happy to buy a 2+2er a beer or three

Quote

04-13-2016 , 01:49 PM

#88

cwicemvp12

Sergei Bobrovsky!

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 22,495

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steve Yzerman fan

What are your thoughts on St. Louis vs. Chicago cwice?

I like the Blues because of home ice. Chicago never really got it going after the deadline, eye test or stats-wise for whatever reason. St. Louis was also very good in that timeframe. It's going to be a good, close series. I tend to agree with the I.M. model there. It's probably in the 55/45 range.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 01:53 PM

#89

royalblue

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 20,554

gotta say there's some excitement creeping up after all. Though wangz-bolts as the opener kinda sucks

Quote

04-13-2016 , 01:53 PM

#90

Steve Yzerman fan

*** VAGOS MAKES GOOD POINTS ***

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 33,019

I think Dallas is overrated as the Western conference champs. Have a hard time seeing them making the conference finals in any scenario.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 02:11 PM

#91

72off

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 67,827

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steve Yzerman fan

I think Dallas is overrated as the Western conference champs. Have a hard time seeing them making the conference finals in any scenario.

ok, guess i'll try to make a case...

- well they have a bye in the 1st round
- ^ gives Seguin time to fully recover
- maybe Blues/Hawks beat the **** out of each other (seems likely)
- think Spezza had a hattrick in the last game of the season, maybe he recaptures old form
- Kris Russell blocks shots so that the lolFins behind don't have to
- Nichushkin explodes as an x-factor
- veteran leadership of Sharp & Oduya makes the difference
- they won their last 3 games against Chicago, outscoring them 15-6
- also won their last game against LA

seems possible but unlikely

a 2nd round series against Chicago would be a lot of fun, so hopefully it happens

Quote

04-13-2016 , 02:37 PM

#92

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,729

In case you missed it: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/46...-pool-1602940/

$20 USD nhl.com bracket pool. Under 4.5 hours left to enter.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 02:39 PM

#93

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,419

You ****ers sure use a lot of bullets and numbering itt.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 03:33 PM

#94

Steve Yzerman fan

*** VAGOS MAKES GOOD POINTS ***

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 33,019

Quote:

Originally Posted by 72off

ok, guess i'll try to make a case...

- well they have a bye in the 1st round
- ^ gives Seguin time to fully recover
- maybe Blues/Hawks beat the **** out of each other (seems likely)
- think Spezza had a hattrick in the last game of the season, maybe he recaptures old form
- Kris Russell blocks shots so that the lolFins behind don't have to
- Nichushkin explodes as an x-factor
- veteran leadership of Sharp & Oduya makes the difference
- they won their last 3 games against Chicago, outscoring them 15-6
- also won their last game against LA

seems possible but unlikely

a 2nd round series against Chicago would be a lot of fun, so hopefully it happens

They've played the Wild really well this year but I like the Wild as a team. Only issue is that they seem to be very injured right now but overall I think they have underperformed this year and maybe they put **** together for the playoffs.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 04:21 PM

#95

Jimmy Proffett

SE's NFL Swami

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 22,322

Paging etats..... A week-long avatar bet on the Pens/Rags series? Just so we're clear, I get the Pens, you're stuck with the Swedish Chef.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 04:34 PM

#96

sylar

Ivan Drago's homeslice

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 20,307

IIRC, fakegeddylee owes us several TR that were never posted. I am open to a TR write up bet to force his hand!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

04-13-2016 , 04:47 PM

#97

wazzu24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 6,378

Capitals in 7
Penguins in 4
Panthers in 6
Wings in 6

Stars in 7
Blues in 6
Ducks in 5
Kings in 5

Quote

04-13-2016 , 06:34 PM

#98

Everlastrr

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 12,897

Getting excited.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 06:36 PM

#99

NhlNut

KANGZ

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 18,190

Quote:

Originally Posted by Geddy Lee

Caps-Flyers slated to be the best series of the entire playoffs, let alone the first round.

DownThumb.jpg
Caps in 5

Quote:

Originally Posted by Geddy Lee

She got engaged this season, lol.

Confirmed not Mike Richards.

So you're saying there's still a chance?

Quote:

Originally Posted by 72off

could always add a rolling gameday thread if we need it

Gameday LOLtard containment thread imo

Nice to see actual content in an nhl thread. Don't want to see that get spoiled.

Quote

04-13-2016 , 06:53 PM

#100

Steve Yzerman fan

*** VAGOS MAKES GOOD POINTS ***

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 33,019

Almost there!

Quote

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