NFL Regular Season 2018 - Page 138 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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01-08-2019 , 02:34 AM

#3426

nath

the second coming of the second coming

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 68,688

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerHero77

Whatever happened to Craig James?

Apparently he tried to run for Senate and went full religious cultural conservative and that pretty much killed his broadcasting career

Quote

01-08-2019 , 06:22 AM

#3427

toedder

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 4,915

What qualifies as a successful run on early downs?

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:00 AM

#3428

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 47,067

Quote:

Originally Posted by toedder

What qualifies as a successful run on early downs?

A pass

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:19 AM

#3429

feel wrath

The Situation

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 29,873

Quote:

Originally Posted by toedder

What qualifies as a successful run on early downs?

I vaguely remember a Joe Thomas interview when I think he said that a successful early down run is when you achieve at least half of the required distance for another 1st down

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:43 AM

#3430

All-inMcLovin

Wholesome Mod

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 49,609

Quote:

Originally Posted by nath

Melissa McCarthy would be an improvement over Mike McCarthy.

...

BRB, going to go pitch a gender-and-sport-swapped Ladybugs remake.

LOL

Can I be one of the writers on this one?

Quote

01-08-2019 , 08:52 AM

#3431

Perhaps Shimmy

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 2,577

Quote

01-08-2019 , 09:41 AM

#3432

Kowabunghole

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 1,645

Mike leach looks like a dude who’s been through some ****

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:00 PM

#3433

BillNye

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 10,048

Quote:

Originally Posted by toedder

What qualifies as a successful run on early downs?

1st down 40% of distance to go. 2nd, 50%. 3rd/4th need to convert.

So 2nd and 2 run for 1 yard gets credit as successful.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:04 PM

#3434

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Apparently 3rd and 2 is worse than first and 10.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:09 PM

#3435

SenorKeeed

mew mew mew

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 37,478

A more sophisticated version of success rate that is sometimes used is an outcome that improves the expected points added from the previous down and distance situation. So a 13 yard gain on third and 15 from the opponent's 45 would probably be a successful play.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:11 PM

#3436

SenorKeeed

mew mew mew

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 37,478

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99

Apparently 3rd and 2 is worse than first and 10.

3rd and 2 conversion rate is probably 55-60%. What is the chances of three and out on a random first and 10? Has to be lower than 40%. So yeah, that seems correct.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:40 PM

#3437

businessdude

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 10,913

Quote:

Originally Posted by SenorKeeed

3rd and 2 conversion rate is probably 55-60%. What is the chances of three and out on a random first and 10? Has to be lower than 40%. So yeah, that seems correct.

Chances of converting a 1st and 10 is about 66%, 3rd and 2 like 55%.

Although 3rd and 2 will almost always have decent chance of converting on 4th down.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:41 PM

#3438

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,272

Quote:

Originally Posted by toedder

What qualifies as a successful run on early downs?

Quote:

Originally Posted by RT

A pass

Quote

01-08-2019 , 01:55 PM

#3439

Slighted

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 16,773

Quote:

Originally Posted by feel wrath

time to buy Colts stock for future Super Bowls. still in the playoffs, they have ....

- the youngest team in the NFL
- no expensive pending free agents,
- basically no dead money issues at all (only significant $ is on Luck and recent top draft picks)
- pick 34 from the Jets alongside their own 1st and 2nd rounders
- the most cap space in the NFL at $121m in 2019

yeah but.. you can't play the afc east and the nfc east every year. and then your two matchup teams are Cinci and Oakland.. that is like a DREAM schedule that amounted to barely making the playoffs.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 02:07 PM

#3440

1989

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 374

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slighted

yeah but.. you can't play the afc east and the nfc east every year. and then your two matchup teams are Cinci and Oakland.. that is like a DREAM schedule that amounted to barely making the playoffs.

Yep schedule was very soft but this was still a rebuild year. The Colts lead the league in Snap % by Rookies by far and their most expensive FA were Ebron/Autry at ~8m/year. They are in salary cap heaven for 2019 and 2020 at least.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 04:53 PM

#3441

wheatrich

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,239

counterpoint
Texans, Jags, Titans

Quote

01-08-2019 , 05:06 PM

#3442

AUGUY55

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 22,554

Kliff Kingsbury to Arizona. Lol?

Quote

01-08-2019 , 05:30 PM

#3443

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Broncos deciding between Munchak & Fangio.

Browns deciding between Kitchens & Stefanski.

& yeah, Kingsbury to AZ is a done deal.

Last edited by JMurder3; 01-08-2019 at 05:35 PM. Reason: reading is hard

Quote

01-08-2019 , 06:16 PM

#3444

Tom Ames

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 45,795

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

Broncos deciding between Munchak & Fangio.

Browns deciding between Kitchens & Stefanski.

& yeah, Kingsbury to AZ is a done deal.

Here a Mike, There a Mike, Everywhere a Mike Mike!

Quote

01-08-2019 , 06:56 PM

#3445

DisGunBGud

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

I still don't get hiring Koetter. Only argument I can string together is window is closing and he's familiar around these parts. Heartbeat doesn't skip or some BS...whatever

Quote

01-08-2019 , 06:56 PM

#3446

Hellmuth was right

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 5,803

Kingsbury failing upward

taking notes from Lane Kiffin

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:08 PM

#3447

wheatrich

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,239

get fired from Texas Tech straight to the NFL, kudos.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:09 PM

#3448

wheatrich

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 21,239

When's the last college coach to go straight to the NFL and have success jimmy johnson? and this guy got fired lol

Seems good at offense though and maybe put arizona back to the D it had before and they could be fine next year--we'll see.

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:15 PM

#3449

Perhaps Shimmy

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 2,577

The Jets have reportedly narrowed their head coach search down to a bucket of cancer and a bucket of AIDS

Quote

01-08-2019 , 07:24 PM

#3450

capone0

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 43,152

Quote:

Originally Posted by wheatrich

jim harbaugh had enough success.

bill O'B has been decent.

last 25 years:

Butch sucked
Erickson sucked
Mooch was okay
Petrino sucked
Kelly sucked
Riley sucked
Saban actually was okay (15-17)
Spurrier sucked
Switzer was good
Dennis Green was good

So a lot of mixed results; some were also coordinators in the NFL before becoming college HCs.

I would assume the fact that Kingsbury was around Mayfield and Mahomes has a big thing to do with it even though he'll likely suck. They need someone to groom Rosen.

Quote

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