NFL Regular Season 2017 - Page 9 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

Big market team that won 11 games last year. Seems pretty clear cut.

Less clear cut is who scheduled Indianapolis @ Seattle on SNF in week 4. Best case for that game was Seattle being like a 10.5 point favorite and that's even if Luck was healthy and playing.

wut. can i get Indy +10.5 on the condition luck plays?

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09-19-2017 , 09:09 PM

#203

stinkubus

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 4,422

LOL Seattle's offense has like 20 pts this season. They shouldn't be that big a favorite over anyone if they can't score.

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09-19-2017 , 10:49 PM

#204

Onlydo2days

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Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 19,276

Quote:

Originally Posted by Heroball

NE the survivor pick this week? Used Buff and Oak thus far.

I read a decent amount about survivor pool game theory recently.

Obviously it varies by slate but I think the best strategy for large fields (think 600-800ish) is basically try to take these chalk plays early on and hope to make some pivot/leverage off the chalk plays later on.

Besides the best teams in the league, you don't get too many big spreads early in the year (Bills week 1 vs Jets an exception so I took them as well) but late in the year tons of stuff like injuries and teams just falling apart happens so mid-level teams can be bigger favs over bad teams.

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09-19-2017 , 11:00 PM

#205

SteveSax

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i thought the obvious strat was to pick away from the herd

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09-19-2017 , 11:08 PM

#206

Onlydo2days

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Well when you've got these teams that are -800 and much bigger favs to win than the pivot teams then I think you wanna pick them and hope the field purges itself, hope people take random teams and the field cuts down a little. Oakland last week and NE this upcoming week fitting that bill. Obviously somewhat depends on how sharp you think the field is as well.

But like week 1 going say the Rams at 5% picked and 70% win probability vs Bills at 50% owned and 77% probability is the right move.

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09-19-2017 , 11:09 PM

#207

wheatrich

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Quote:

Originally Posted by nath

Saints dump Stephone Anthony on the Dolphins. Good thing we traded Jimmy Graham for that draft pick.

It's incredible the # of lose/lose trades the NFL has isn't it?

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09-19-2017 , 11:43 PM

#208

GusJohnsonGOAT

SESwamiGOAT

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 15,796

Quote:

Originally Posted by Palo

I'd be shocked if they flex out of week 5 or 6.

Up to 2 can be flexed between weeks 5-10 and seems like unlimited after that. Seems pretty stupid not to if they are freebies considering week 7 is Pats Falcons, Week 8 is Lions and Steelers which looks like it could be a good game, week 9 is Raiders at Dolphins, so depends on if the Dolphins suck or not (Cowboys Chiefs play in the afternoon, so definitely one that could be flexed) and week 10 is Pats Broncos.

Obvious choice seems to be week 5 move Cowboys Packers to night and week 6 move Chiefs Steelers. Week 8 seems pretty safe. Only risk is week 9.

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09-20-2017 , 04:18 PM

#209

wheatrich

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Sammy Watkins is a flat earther.

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09-21-2017 , 12:22 PM

#210

Nonfiction

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Just saw a stat that the ravens defense currently has only 1 less "reception" than all their WRs.

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09-21-2017 , 01:27 PM

#211

stinkubus

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 4,422

Yup, 8 INTs for the D vs. 9 receptions for their WR corps. Their pass D has been stifling through the first two games and they get Jax this weekend.

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09-21-2017 , 03:00 PM

#212

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,262

Quote:

Originally Posted by wheatrich

Sammy Watkins is a flat earther.

wat

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09-21-2017 , 04:17 PM

#213

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,262

Aaron Hernandez Had Severe CTE

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09-21-2017 , 04:21 PM

#214

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,419

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominic

Aaron Hernandez Had Severe CTE

Incredibly depressing. I encourage fans to contact the NFL and urge them to change things. This **** is going to keep happening and will only get worse.

I don't know anybody in my local area who has kids in football anymore. Soon, that group will be in high school, then college, then the pros. The game is going to die completely unless things change, And quickly.

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09-21-2017 , 04:39 PM

#215

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,262

Hernandez's finance is now suing the NFL, the Patriots, and Goodell after this revelation.

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09-21-2017 , 04:51 PM

#216

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,419

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominic

Hernandez's finance is now suing the NFL, the Patriots, and Goodell after this revelation.

So is his daughter, so will his parents and so will the family of his murder victim. This **** is going to continue to get exponentially expensive for the NFL

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09-21-2017 , 04:54 PM

#217

CalledDownLight

Toonces the Posting Bot

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 88,413

master, what is your proposed solution?

any sport that allows meaningful contact will result in CTE to many of its participants. It happens in action sports, rugby, soccer, etc. as well. Its just most publicized in the US in connection to the NFL.

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09-21-2017 , 04:55 PM

#218

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

wasnt hernandez killing people and other various misdeeds well before playing in the nfl?

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09-21-2017 , 04:58 PM

#219

ut2010

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How can they prove it didn't occur because of HS or college ball. Guess they are hoping to get paid to go away.

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09-21-2017 , 05:03 PM

#220

master3004

Revisionist Historian

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 56,419

Quote:

Originally Posted by CalledDownLight

I'll respond to this shortly, but short answer is... I'm not sure.

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09-21-2017 , 05:08 PM

#221

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,262

Don't see her suing the high schools or college he played for. Not suing the gangs he was with, either. Straight money grab, ldo.

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09-21-2017 , 05:16 PM

#222

Palo

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The high schools, colleges, and gangs weren't multi-billion dollar organizations with a history of suppressing and concealing information and research into the issue.

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09-21-2017 , 05:37 PM

#223

Heroball

temp-banned

Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 9,402

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominic

Don't see her suing the high schools or college he played for. Not suing the gangs he was with, either. Straight money grab, ldo.

No **** she's suing the only party with money.

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09-21-2017 , 09:31 PM

#224

Tom Ames

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Straight cash, homey!

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09-21-2017 , 11:16 PM

#225

nath

the second coming of the second coming

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 68,675

Quote:

Originally Posted by Palo

The high schools, colleges, and gangs weren't multi-billion dollar organizations with a history of suppressing and concealing information and research into the issue.

Right? I find it bizarre how many people immediately ran to the NFL's side when they heard about a CTE lawsuit.

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