Quote:
Originally Posted by patron
I'm drafting vs a friend, from this point on to win the tournament. I have the first pick, simple snake. I know the odds, but I'm curious about opinions here. Rooting interests, evil blue teams, etc aside, but going just by who you think has the best chance to win:
1) Who would you take 1st, Villanova or Duke?
2) Which 2 teams would you want to take out of these 4: Gonzaga, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan?
Just use the
pinnacle lines
Nova, Duke, Gonzaga, Kentucky/Kansas, Michigan
Kentucky, Kansas and Michigan have had inflated odds all tournament relative to Kenpom. Kentucky makes sense, as there is a mountain of evidence for believing that they are currently better than their kenpom rating (Highly rated preseason teams that have mediocre seasons over perform in the NCAAT, their team is very young and got better as the season progressed, etc.)
Michigan is probably overvalued on futures lines because people love Michigan. Not clear to me why Kansas has been so overvalued all tournament (if anything they should be slightly worse given Azubuike's injury), and I am extremely short them.
So, I'd say Nova, Duke, Gonzaga, Kentucky, Kansas, Michigan, Purdue, WV, ATM, Texas Tech, Nevada, Clemson, K-State, Chicago, Cuse
Last edited by GoldenBears; 03-21-2018 at 05:00 PM.