Just looked back through my random long shot futures bets from the night before the tournament started. I have KSU at 75-1 to win South and 500-1 to win tournament. Not bad.



Also have Clemson at 150-1 to win the tournament.

Pro tip: Don't get too excited about a favorable draw

Beat me to it

Calimari really drew up a great final play.

FYI Michigan at Bovada now at +800 to win it, which is basically their fair equity + ATM fair equity, and doesn't take in to account Gonzaga and Kentucky losing

$500 max tho :/

Got the max on it.

+800 is insane when they're going to be 5-6 point favorites in 2 more games and then probably at worst 4 point dogs in the title game against Nova or Duke

Yeah +800 is insane. I would max on that if I was betting person and hedge if Michigan reaches the final

Listening to the postgame call in show...and the thing that still infuriates me the most is the commercial

"Would you trust your mother's resuscitator to wind? Paid for by the friends of coal"

Went to the bathroom and just got back to hear some commercial ending with "killing the deep state". Oh, Kentucky....

Don't you know that as soon as the wind stops blowing tomorrow, all power in the city goes out?

But UK players stay at the Wildcat Coal Lodge (oh Kentucky...)

At least the TV Timeout prize at Rupp Arena is a free 1-year membership to the Lexington Gun Range!

Yeah last post before I drunkenly call it a night, but yes coal lobby still spends **** amounts of money trying to convince people wind power stops if wind stops blowing.

Meanwhile

Villanova would have to beat West Va tomorrow. Turn around and beat Purdue/Texas Tech Sunday. Then likely beat winner of Kansas/Duke if favorites hold just to get the chance to play for a national championship.

BOILER UP

I of course love to laugh at UK fans after they lose in the NCAA with CAL. Rupp's Rafter's has some gold from last night including a conspiracy the the refs were behind Washington going to the line 20 times (he's a 65% FT shooter) and costing them the game. Last year they were the same group irate that the ref cost them the game against UNC for not calling enough fouls on UNC. Seems like when your team shoots 15 more FTs and called for 9 fouls, you can't really blame the refs. Refs didn't make UK miss FTs. In fact the FTs kept UK in the game.

https://kentucky.forums.rivals.com/t...onight.263230/

I guess the meth in Kentucky is great.

My Michigan/Villanova championship is looking PRESCIENT

If West Virginia wouldn't mind knocking out the best team left in the tournament tonight Duke would really appreciate it. It worked in 2010 so might as well do it again.

Yeah, I have them as roughly 45% to make it to the finals, so they only need to win there 25% of the time for this to break even... obviously I think they win more frequently than that against Duke or Villanova, not even counting the ~35% chance they end up playing WV/Tech/Purdue/Kansas and the game is close to a pk if not having Michigan favored.

The only two teams left I was pretty short on are Michigan and Kansas, so I actually will probably end up hedging the OTHER way if Michigan makes it (i.e. betting more on Michigan). My biggest shorts for the tourney were Virginia, Sparty, Kansas and Ohio State in that order. I thought I was pretty neutral on Michigan, but they got way overpicked in a lot of pools so I was shorter than I thought... but I also own them in my biggest draft. (Though I will prob win the draft regardless)

I have MASSIVE exposure on Clemson (~200k if they win) Texas Tech (~50k if they win) and reasonable exposures on Purdue (~20k if they win), WV (~20k) Duke (~20k) and Nova (~20k).

So basically... reeeeeally hope Kansas loses tonight. If I had no position on this game, I'd be hammering Clemson anyway, so I haven't hedged at all.

thinking loyala just blows out kansas state

I just noticed something kind of dumb but I have duke in one random group bracket and was looking down the list of who picked duke and it's basically me and like 6 people near last place out of 70. Maybe picking duke is fine because people who pick Duke just suck? Something for next year!

Probably not as true on 2p2, this is a pretty friendly/fishy pool.

The Zags losing was the nail in my coffin.

decked out in orange today. looking for big efforts from Clemson and Syracuse tonight.

I like my 75-1 on Michigan but a bit worried about getting paid, think I may offer a settle.

lol fitting name for the current top bracket