NCAA Football RANKINGS Thread - Page 5 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

Kentucky was home for LSU.

Gonna need a while to review and rank; Did wonderfully this week on being ahead of the market. Was slaughtered in the actual games.

Obviously 1) Georgia
2) Iowa
Might have Cincy ahead of Oklahoma and other B1gs for now.

Quote

10-10-2021 , 05:40 PM

#102

DeadMoneyWalking

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 32,363

Did Kentucky just win vs Florida and @LSU back to back? That has to be a program first, in this sport.

Quote

10-10-2021 , 05:45 PM

#103

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,752

Oregon not a top 10 power ranking team. the injuries are really piling up and i don't think their improved depth will help much moving forward.

Quote

10-10-2021 , 05:56 PM

#104

AngerPush

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 32,044

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeadMoneyWalking

Did Kentucky just win vs Florida and @LSU back to back? That has to be a program first, in this sport.

Kentucky was home against LSU

UGA was @Auburn

Quote

10-10-2021 , 10:29 PM

#105

FellaGaga-52

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2018 Posts: 8,077

Is this Iowa kind of a Wiscy replay from a few years ago ... where they climb super high without playing Ohio State, Michigan or Michigan State, or anybody out of conference?

Quote

10-10-2021 , 10:30 PM

#106

AngerPush

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 32,044

They beat Iowa St on the road.

Quote

10-10-2021 , 11:04 PM

#107

PocketChads

guaranteed 42-10 finish

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 22,449

Quote:

Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52

Is this Iowa kind of a Wiscy replay from a few years ago ... where they climb super high without playing Ohio State, Michigan or Michigan State, or anybody out of conference?

Excuse me, they beat Michael Penix Jr

Quote

10-11-2021 , 01:16 AM

#108

DeadMoneyWalking

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 32,363

Quote:

Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52

Is this Iowa kind of a Wiscy replay from a few years ago ... where they climb super high without playing Ohio State, Michigan or Michigan State, or anybody out of conference?

I think Iowa is a replay of 2015 Iowa where the Hawks started 12-0.

Quote:

Originally Posted by AngerPush

Kentucky was home against LSU

UGA was @Auburn

Quote

10-11-2021 , 09:45 AM

#109

Holliday

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 22,226

Bill Connelly pretty much nails it:

Quote:

The current rankings for both Wisconsin (seventh) and unbeaten Iowa (16th) tell us a lot about how SP+ views efficiency and turnovers. The success rate measure -- how frequently you're gaining 50% of your required yardage on first down, 70% on second and 100% on third or fourth -- makes up a healthy portion of the SP+ formula, and Wisconsin dominates Iowa on both sides of the ball.

Success rate (garbage time filtered out): Wisconsin offense 44.7% (53rd in FBS), Iowa 36.2% (119th)

Success rate allowed: Wisconsin defense 28.3% (second), Iowa 34.5% (11th)

Generally, these efficiency levels are just about the most predictable and sustainable part of football, and Wisconsin clearly has the edge here. But a large reason the Hawkeyes are unbeaten and looking good for the CFP while the Badgers are trying to scrape back to .500 is turnovers.

Turnovers committed: Iowa 5, Wisconsin 14 (11 in losses)
Turnovers created: Iowa 20, Wisconsin 3 (1 in losses)

Wisconsin has recovered only 36% of fumbles in its five games, while Iowa has recovered 58% of fumbles in six. Meanwhile, the Hawkeye secondary has turned 42 passes defensed (interceptions plus breakups) into 16 interceptions, while Wisconsin's defense has turned 26 passes defensed into just two picks. Based on national averages for fumble recovery rates and the ratio of INTs to breakups, Wisconsin's turnover margin should be about minus-1.6. It's minus-11. Iowa's should be about plus-6.4. It's plus-15.

Wisconsin quarterback Graham Mertz has been particularly careless with the football, and Iowa's secondary has been utterly brilliant at creating turnover chances. But SP+ sees these teams' turnover margins as unsustainable in two different directions, and as a predictive measure, it sees the Badgers as the more likely team to play at a top-10 level moving forward.

Quote

10-11-2021 , 11:28 AM

#110

NotReddBoiler

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 3,660

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holliday

I like Cinci 2 ahead of the B1Gs. Think they're good all around and everywhere.

Quote

10-11-2021 , 08:18 PM

#111

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,752

i think Cinci has the talent + coaching to play a respectable game against anyone in the country.

Quote

10-12-2021 , 12:52 AM

#112

FellaGaga-52

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2018 Posts: 8,077

Well I guess I over-corrected on UK. After having Gators beat them no-brainer and thinking LSU was a tossup, UK showed big both times ... so I guessed UGA 14.5 over them at the poker table the other night. Only missed by about 10. Somebody else said 11 so I did better than him anhyway.

Quote

10-12-2021 , 08:46 AM

#113

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,919

Quote

10-12-2021 , 09:51 PM

#114

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,950

Sagarin top 10 / Sagarin rating / Vegas diff this week

UGA 96 (+4, which means Vegas has the line for this game 4 points higher than Sag)
Bama 93 (+3)
OSU 92 -
Iowa 87 (-6)
OU 87 (0)
Mich 87 -
PSU 86 -
ISU 85 (+1.5)
UF 85 (+5.5)
Cincy 85 (+4.5)

Quote

10-12-2021 , 09:53 PM

#115

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,950

The cincy +4.5 line might have more to do with UCF QB though

Iowa is overrated by Sagarin due to teir insane luck, we know that

top of the b1g just taking the week off i guess

Quote

10-13-2021 , 01:32 AM

#116

nucleardonkey

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 1,252

It takes an NFL caliber QB to beat UGA. Think Marino vs. Bears. Do they have that on their schedule?

Or Florida.

Quote

11-02-2021 , 04:23 PM

#117

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,950

First committee rankings tonight. Going to be pretty wild

AP rankings are:
1 UGA
2 Cincy
3 Bama
4 Oklahoma
5 MSU
6 OSU
7 Oregon
8 ND
9 Michigan
10 Wake

My guess for the committee:
1 UGA
2 Michigan State
3 Cincinnati
4 Oklahoma
5 Alabama
6 Oregon
7 Ohio State
8 Oklahoma State
9 Michigan
10 Notre Dame

Quote

11-02-2021 , 04:41 PM

#118

Holliday

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 22,226

I’ll be impressed and surprised if Cincy is in the top 10. And if they are in the top 10, I’ll be suspicious that it’s only so they can feel the joy of bumping them down a couple spots each remaining week.

Quote

11-02-2021 , 07:12 PM

#119

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,950

ok state to 10 actually, obv not gonna be at 8, other 2 bump up

Quote

11-02-2021 , 07:18 PM

#120

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,950

wowwww ou 8

Quote

11-02-2021 , 07:35 PM

#121

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,919

I wonder if Gary Barta FedExed a shipment of KY Jelly to Cincinnati ahead of this release.

Quote

11-02-2021 , 08:13 PM

#122

NotReddBoiler

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 3,660

5-3 Mississippi State slid right into 17th to prop up Bamas wins seems about right.

Quote

11-02-2021 , 08:15 PM

#123

AUGUY55

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 22,553

OU at 8 is legit. I think that’s correct. They’ve needed miracles to beat Tulane and Kansas. I would put cincy at 5 though. I think they did pretty good. Oregon over osu is correct imo