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Originally Posted by DeadMoneyWalking
Not sure whether to say the benefits are all flowing to the richest schools (Michigan and Texas) or some version of parity is spreading across the top 15ish schools. I am leaning towards the latter.
I wouldn't say talent is flowing to Michigan though. Their best recruiting class over the last 4 years was 9th and their overall team talent is 13th. They're on an uptick b/c a lot of key players are really good at the same time, but unless you're pulling in top classes year after year, you're gonna have big ebbs and flows. The team to look out for is A&M. If they suddenly start winning natties and being top 5 year after year, then you can make a case for the talent flowing unfairly to the richest school.
As bigdaddy said, the key is that the 2nd and 3rd stringers are no longer elite at schools like Bama. Just look at FSU v UGA, the drop off once you lose a few starters is astronomical. Bama has lost a TON of talent to the portal this year. Lots of guys that were top 100 national recruits (Roydell Williams, Shazz Preston, Ferguson, Benson, Goodwine, Jones-Bell, Buchner, etc.) Earl Little was a guy that was penciled is as a starter next year that Saban fought hard to keep and he still went to FSU b/c he felt hard done by not receiving enough PT this year. Pre-NIL, Bama gets to keep all these guys and have a 2 deep with insane talent.
If anything, I think NIL will probably add a lot of parity (at least among 10-15 schools) b/c there will be so much turnover, thinner rosters, and some teams will have chemistry issues. There will be a lot more randomness based on which teams luck into the right combo of players.