NCAA Football 2023 Season Megathread - Page 18 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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NCAA Football 2023 Season Megathread

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09-02-2023 , 03:39 PM

#426

Bidz

Hurts so good

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 32,721

juan thyme?

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:39 PM

#427

Holliday

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 22,226

Why didn't they just run it?

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:39 PM

#428

Tom Ames

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 45,831

Gagging in progress

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09-02-2023 , 03:40 PM

#429

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

LET'S ****IN GO

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:41 PM

#430

TJ Eckleburg12

Only Gives Out Winners

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 15,171

Oh how I’ve missed college football

Congrats on the money, Colorado backers!

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:41 PM

#431

Holliday

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 22,226

Rice +36. Ewewrs to get replaced before 280
WKU +13.5
A Hugh Freeze QB to get over 207 yards against UMASS

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:44 PM

#432

Bidz

Hurts so good

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 32,721

Good luck to corn next week

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:48 PM

#433

lozen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 24,863

Damn what a game

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:52 PM

#434

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

I'm rich baby

Fully on board the colorado bandwagon

that was so fun

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:52 PM

#435

natediggity

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 15,745

I rarely watch college football but saw every second of that game. Awesome. Go Colorado!

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:52 PM

#436

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

haha UMASS TOUCHDOWN baby

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:56 PM

#437

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,861

Travis Hunter trains at altitude
if he keeps this up all season he should be considered for the heisman
how many snaps did he end up taking?

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09-02-2023 , 03:57 PM

#438

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

tried to tell yall

that was the best gambling spot I've seen since biden popular vote was -600

can't remember the last time I had that much on a game

gambling is so great

Quote

09-02-2023 , 03:59 PM

#439

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,861

ah ah ah ha ha ha GB

edit: what a sweat

Last edited by REDeYeS00; 09-02-2023 at 04:05 PM.

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:01 PM

#440

natediggity

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 15,745

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

I have already maxed the bet out.

Almost every time I thought Vegas was this stupid, they have proven me right.

Would bet a pretty substantial portion of my net worth that I am right here

To be clear, being right does not mean I am sure Colorado will win. My $ is in on something like an average of +600, so even if they lose 70% of the time, I got it in super good. Being right means that the live line is calculating the odds by continuing to anchor to the pregame assumption that TCU is 20.5 points better than Colorado, and I think that is very obviously not true. Would wager that next week's lines imply that TCU is < 14 points better than Colorado, maybe even closer to 0 than to 14. Which would make the bets I've made here incredibly +EV.

The live line doesn't really update the pregame assumption as the game goes on, which is a totally reasonable thing to do in week 10 when you have tons of data, but this pregame line was arguably the least confident pregame projection in the history of college football. Continuing to anchor to that line when the play on the field looks very different is a gigantic error

congrats!

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09-02-2023 , 04:07 PM

#441

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

TOUCHDOWN GOLDEN BEARS

YEAR OF JUSTICE

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09-02-2023 , 04:09 PM

#442

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

USF

LET'S GO

WHEN U HOT U HOT

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:11 PM

#443

DeadMoneyWalking

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 32,379

Did I imagine UMass leading Notre Dame? Yes. a few years back it was 20-21 with 6 min left in the first half. But it felt like losing.

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:18 PM

#444

Holliday

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 22,226

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

tried to tell yall

that was the best gambling spot I've seen since biden popular vote was -600

can't remember the last time I had that much on a game

gambling is so great

I, for one, appreciate it. Only got +170 at the time, but later +300 after one of the lead changes, yuk, yuk, yuk.

On a game I was not watching and wouldn't have even noticed otherwise--thanks!

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:49 PM

#445

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

Minnesota - terrible
Nebraska - terrible
Purdue - lost at home to Fresno
Iowa - lol
Wisconsin - 7-7 with Buffalo 25 minutes into the game
Illinois - hasn't played yet, so haven't shamed themselves yet, though wouldn't be surprised if they get by toledo straight up
Northwestern - lol

who is gonna win this dumpster fire of a division?

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:51 PM

#446

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

PENIX GOES DEEP

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09-02-2023 , 04:54 PM

#447

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,861

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

oregon or washington

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

PENIX GOES DEEP

GB, you looking to double down?

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:58 PM

#448

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,995

ruh roh

Marvin Harrison, Jr. is down

Quote

09-02-2023 , 04:58 PM

#449

GoldenBears

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 23,958

What's happening to Ohio State? I don't have that one on

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09-02-2023 , 04:59 PM

#450

Booker Wolfbox

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 38,685

Good lord Tom Allen is an idiot

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