Quote:
Originally Posted by tiger24
The problem with this theory is that football is nothing like basketball. The reason the power schools win in football is because of the offensive and defensives lines which are only dominate in the SEC and a few Big10 schools. There aren't enough athletic guys up front to balance college football. With a 4 team playoff you had a small chance a small school could win 2 games for a natty. Now you're going to see a few small schools get in and if they get out the first round they will have a team like Bama or Lsu waiting next. They will never be able to get through that gauntlet. Football is a sport where a grown man gets to put his hands on you up front....this isn't basketball or baseball where things have leveled out
Quote:
Originally Posted by tiger24
I wish it was different I really do. Last 4 nattys are all from SEC and by 3 different teams. GA, GA, BAMA, LSU. This isn't by accident
Ya I mean this is just a meaningless statement. Not even sure what you are arguing
Georgia and Bama are juggernauts that are gonna be favorites to win the title no matter what format you choose. But they're not invincible, and winning 3 games is harder than winning 2 games. (Although you're also less likely to miss the playoff)
Let's call the "blue bloods" Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Florida, USC (who hasn't even made the playoffs yet), Texas, Oklahoma, Ohio State, Michigan and ND. Include Clemson and FSU too bc of the era.
In nine years, you've only had Oregon, Michigan State, Washington, Cincinnati and TCU even get a shot. Only five out of the 36 teams were non blue bloods, and they went 2-5.
In the 12 team playoff, you're gonna get like six of these guys in there every year. The odds of one of them breaking through are way, way higher
Like in 2014-15, TCU was the best team in the country according to most models and they didn't even get to play play. Stanford in '16 would easily have had a shot.
And there are a BUNCH of small schools from the BCS era that would definitely have been live, although you could argue that that was a different era before all the talent consolidation