Thread for predicting brackets, specific team placements and railing selection sunday results.

Projected 1 seeds:
Florida
Witchita St
Arizona
Villanova

Last 4 byes per BM:
Stanford
St. Joseph's
BYU
Dayton

Last 4 in per BM:
Nebraska
Xavier
Tennessee
Arkansas

First 4 out:
California
Minnesota
Providence
Georgetown

Other bubble teams on the right side of the bubble:
Arizona State
Southern Methodist
Colorado
Pittsburgh

On the wrong side:
St. John's
Florida State
Utah
Wisconsin-Green Bay
Missouri
Louisiana Tech
Middle Tennessee

Tickets punched:
Wichita State
Harvard
Manhattan
Delaware
Mercer
Eastern Kentucky
Wofford
Coastal Carolina

NCAA Schedule:
Selection Sunday
March 16

First Round
March 18-19
UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)

Second-Third Rounds
March 20, 22
First Niagara Center (Buffalo, N.Y.)
BMO Harris Bradley Center (Milwaukee)
Amway Center (Orlando, Fla.)
Veterans Memorial Arena (Spokane, Wash.)

March 21, 23
PNC Arena (Raleigh, N.C.)
AT&T Center (San Antonio)
Viejas Arena (San Diego)
Scottrade Center (St. Louis)

South Regional
March 27, 29
FedExForum (Memphis, Tenn.)

West Regional
March 27, 29
Honda Center (Anaheim, Calif.)

East Regional
March 28, 30
Madison Square Garden (New York)

Midwest Regional
March 28, 30
Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)

National Semifinals
April 5
AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)

Championship Game
April 7
AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)

Common bracketology sites:
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology
http://sports.yahoo.com/featured/ncaab/bigboard/

Bracket rankings:
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html

BYU can't play on Sunday!

So happy that Oregon went from 3-8 in conference to not even being mentioned here.

so friend's brother went to west virginia and has been all excited about the win over kansas (and the older win over iowa state) meaning they'll make the ncaa tournament. he also thinks that basketball amounts to "10 n*****s running in circles" and the only games he's watched this year are a couple duke games that he was basically forced to watch by me. i've done my best to assure him that wvu isn't going dancing, but should be NITing it up, but it got me thinking how well wvu would have to luckbox in the big 12 tournament to make the dance. could they hypothetically bink wins over texas and oklahoma and magically get in or do they have to win it all?

In

They have to win it all. Their computer profile is terrible:

RPI 83, SOS 44, 5-12 vs top 100, really bad loss against Virginia Tech.

Zero chance they get in unless they win the Big 12 tournament.

Does the committee really look at that blind resume stuff and pretend like #46 at home > #57 on the road (or #24 at home = #2 on the road)? I realize you have to draw the line somewhere to get a snapshot, but it really seems like lining up two similar teams' ten best wins side by side would be a better way.

Also, can we really not figure out a way to close the loopholes on SoS/RPI in 2014? The secret is just making sure your cupcakes are in the 100-190 range, right? I feel like Cuse has benefited from this in the past but this yr, Cornell & Binghamton being full blown aids is killing their #'s. Would've been better off playing DII teams which doesn't count against you.

Coach k mastered rpi like 15 years ago. Not sure why everyone didn't try to follow his lead with scheduling.

14th best team in the country: Massachusetts Minutemen

yup. beating up on teams in the top 50-100 range at home >>>>>> beating up teams in the bottom 100 at home

i really wish arkansas had learned this lesson, they should be in but they have 7 non-conf wins vs teams ranked 246th or worse by kenpom

how in the world is gtown on the bubble...8-10 in big east play plus 3 non-conf losses. they have a good collection of neutral non-conf wins (sparty, vcu, k state) but that doesn't seem to nearly offset their otherwise lolness. their best road win was @butler in OT. i don't see how they are in unless they ship the BEast tourney

also i'm kinda sad that utah isn't gonna make it. i like delon. here are the margins for their losses this year

14
9
4
4 (OT)
4 (OT)
3
2
2
2 (OT)
1

and they also have the lolRPI scheduling as they faced a bunch of crap teams and even a couple of D2 games. don't see how they possibly get there w/o shipping the pac12 tourney

colorado is probably the WOAT at large team. they suck so many balls without dinwiddie. at least i get to fade them one more time on the way out the door!

It would be sad if Iowa, okstate, or Tennessee somehow missed the tourney.

Most seem to have the top two as locks but I'm less certain.

Utah making it would be good as well

Ok state is in unless like every major conf had a bid stolen by a random team not on bubble.

seeds should go something like this, but they won't obv

kansas gets dropped for missing one of their best players

1 Seeds
Zona
Florida
Nova
Wichita

2 Seeds
Virginia
Michigan
Wisconsin
Louisville

3 Seeds
Duke
Creighton
Syracuse
Kansas

4 Seeds
Cincinnati
SDSU
Iowa State
Michigan State

Duke really really needs a 2 I think. Win the tourney and they get it, right?

don't worry fellas, oklahoma state will super lock their bid when marcus smart destroys kansas on thursday

they snap get a 2 if they win the tourney and possibly even a 1.

who else is up for the 4th 1 seed? figure zona florida wichita state are ~locks (although maybe zona slips if delon takes em down early in p12 tourney). nova prob gets it if they win the BEast tourney, but they won't since creighton will just rain NBA 3's on them as per usual. so then it's down to lolville, ACC winner, and b10 winner.

I think arkansas is out after that horrific loss by 25 v alabama last game of season personally

There resume is pretty interesting with all the OTs including two OT wins v kentucky and an OT loss v Florida though. by itself those are obv great. combined with rest of resume they are squarely on the bubble i think. would have been in but god damn that last game of season when they are fighting for their tournament lives and they lose to alabama by 25 is not a good look

doesn't the committee give zero ****s about MOV?

that loss wasn't any more horrific than their previous win was amazing anyway so i don't see why that should be a soulcrusher.

god i'm such an arkansas homer now

From what I remember the committee can use whatever the hell they want. They just tend to use certain things more than others.

i would think if they don't care about mov it would actually hurt arkansas then tbh

i think there losses look a lot better when you look at MOV


idk might be biased myself since mizzou def out and we beat them twice (in really close games)

std disclaimer that i have no idea what i'm talking about but i have been paying attn to the brackets for a few weeks now for obv reasons and a lot of them seem to think they are out after the bama game. idk

the committee is just basically a slightly better AP poll basically.

I guess really for teams like arkansas who are prob within the last 2 teams in or first 2 teams out we can't say much until the bid stealing tourneys are over for the small conferences

they are only the #55 kenpom team so MOV seems to suggest that they are not quite bueno enough

but 10-8 SEC record plus non-conf wins vs SMU, clemson, minnesota isn't bad. they should be required to win the first game of the SEC tourney against auburn/south carolina to wash out the bama taste and lock their bid.

but assuming they do that the next matchup is vs. tennessee. it would seem that the winner is in. does the loser get shut out?