OK, now do Jay Wright and Jim Calhoun. Because if those guys are under 25% then the best modern coaches didn't all go to final fours at >25%, which was the original point.

Calipari coming back baby

Predicting that Avila goes to Mark Few & Gonzava

Well I will be extremely happy to be proven wrong and this turns out to be the correct decision. But damn, this is looking to be a brutally toxic season coming up unless something unlikely like Reed Sheppard coming back happens.

But in fun news



CREAM ABDUL JABBAR

Louisville apparently down to Richard Pitino, the guy who go outscored 5 on 3 for like 8 minutes, and Pat Kelsey, coach of Charleston who has yet to win a tournament game in like 10 years of coaching. How is this the best Louisville can do? Lol

Thanks for write-up!

Caesars has a 33% CBB Parlay Boost min odds +400.
I took:


UNC -4
Houston -4
Marquette alternate -1.5
+403 boosted to +535~

I agree with this analysis. Creighton is talented, but really unathletic. They were awful against SDSU in the E8 last year, another team that is great defensively and athletic, like Tennessee.

The teams they beat in the Tourney last year (with Adj D ranking) were:

State (82), Baylor (107), Princeton (105)

This year:

Akron (98), Oregon (68)

By contrast, SDSUs Adj D was 4th, and Tennessee's is 3rd

Creighton has really benefitted from some great early round matchups that hide their weakness (lack of athleticism) , but could easily get exploited again here and it wouldn't be surprising to see them under 65 points. Creighton almost got lucky last year against SDSU, and only lost 58-57, but Tennessee has a much better offense than SDSU to go along with their great D, so I could easily see a 74-63 type win for Tennessee.

Of course, Creighton jacks a ton of 3s, and could get hot, but it seems like a pretty good spot for Rocky Top.

major conferences post-season records thru 3/26
(including NIT games)

ACC: 11-4, 0.733

P12: 8-3, 0.727

BIG: 10-7, 0.588

BE: 7-5, 0.583

MWC: 6-5, 0.545

SEC: 8-7, 0.533

B12: 9-9, 0.500

I'm really not sure where I net out on the Creighton/Tennessee matchup.

I agree that Creighton hasn't faced really anyone with Tennessee's level of athleticism (even UConn is probably a notch below Tennessee in that department) but they just move the ball and execute so well that I'm not sure that's a major factor here. When your offense is predicated on beating your man or finding advantageous matchups, I see how an athletic defense just overwhelms that. Creighton's is predicated on moving the ball, knowing where the defense is going to react, finding open shooters.

I'd be shocked if Creighton put up a 2019 Michigan vs. Texas Tech level stinker in a similar matchup. I don't see Creighton winning in a blowout unless they shoot over 50% from three, but I think they can keep it close.

feels like bama will get blown out to me, granted maybe they just shoot lights out but they play into unc strengths

Scheierman was the only Blue Jay who seemed to want to take a high pressure shot.

The little guy did too, Ashworth 6 for 18 from the field.

major conferences post-season records thru 3/27
(including NIT games)

P12: 9-3, 0.750

ACC: 11-4, 0.733

BE: 8-5, 0.615

BIG: 10-7, 0.588

SEC: 8-7, 0.533

B12: 9-9, 0.500

MWC: 6-6, 0.500

leggo Clempson!

Clemson should be up 8

they didn't take full advantage of this disjointed Zona start

all the elite empty seats look awful (although i realize the game tipped at 16:10 L.A. time)

My sister has her PhD defense at clemson tomorrow, so hoping for two things to celebrate about.

Zona 0.40 ppp

is that good?

Caleb Love is such an idiot

Clemson setting itself up perfectly for the greatest Clempsoning of all time

Zona now 0.67 ppp

UConn is sick

bad Love is good news for Clemson

at the half

35.4 possessions

Clemson: 1.10 ppp

Zona: 0.88 ppp

Uconn should be up 20 and are doing literally everything conceivable to keep sdsu in it

SDSU thought they had life... butnaaah

at the half

32.6 possessions

SDSU: 0.95 ppp

UCONN: 1.23 ppp

0 fouls on hall in the first half

3 fouls in the first 5 minutes of the 2nd

Clempson finished

Edit: and on cue a turnover leading to Arizona’s first lead