Quote:
Originally Posted by muttiah
There is never a big difference between those 2 picks historically. There will always be some flops and rough diamonds beyond the top 5
The issue is in the EV of the spot. In 7th, your chances of ending up top 4 are 32%. In 8th it drops to 26%. In addition, in 8th you have a 73% chance of picking 8th-10th (specifically, 9th gains a lot of equity). By contrast, if you're 7th, your chances of drafting in 8th-10th are only 48%
So yeah, this is a stacked draft, obviously the top 2 are probably going to be elite players, but it's significantly better to be 7th than 8th.