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Sporting Events Discussion centered around sporting events.

View Poll Results: Who's winning?
Heat in 4 11 9.24%
Heat in 5 34 28.57%
Heat in 6 21 17.65%
Heat in 7 6 5.04%
C's in 4 4 3.36%
C's in 5 0 0%
C's in 6 11 9.24%
C's in 7 8 6.72%
Heat in negative infinity 8 6.72%
lol East 16 13.45%
Voters: 119. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 06-08-2012, 11:42 AM   #5126
TheDean1
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by vhawk01 View Post
So if he does manage to make a few of these big, high variance shots, what will you conclude? That he finally learned how to be clutch? Or that you have been a moron the whole time?

Sick strategy say that he can't win until he does win at which point he can win. Good stuff
this isn't the issue

the issue is that he's shook late in close games and is scared of playing his game on offense and attacking the hoop
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:43 AM   #5127
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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No f'ing way the Celtics are 21% to win this game. No way. They literally JUST beat this team on their court THREE f'ing days ago in an game that was almost as important. That's just insanity.
if you rolled a die that landed on 1 three days ago, would you contend that it's > 21% to land on 1 again tomorrow?
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:45 AM   #5128
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

of course the c's should be like -500 to win game 7 due to matters of heart and the heat having used up all of their run good in game 6, and the fact that wahiv has become full blown waids. if waids is gonna waids and lebron gets shook in the 4th quarter, the heat are going to need like chalmers to dominate so gl with that.
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:48 AM   #5129
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by TheDean1 View Post
if you rolled a die that landed on 1 three days ago, would you contend that it's > 21% to land on 1 again tomorrow?
This is a level, right?
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:50 AM   #5130
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

no, i'm just pointing out how loltastic your lologic is

"it happened last time therefore it must be > 21% this time" is lolllllllllllll

is norfolk st > 21% to beat missouri if they had a rematch of the ncaa tourney round 1?
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:53 AM   #5131
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

is the most recent lottery winner > 21% to win the next time they buy a lottery ticket?

seriously that's probably the most ridiculous logical leap anybody has made here in quite some time. i'm sure you have other reasons in your head for saying that, but based on what you articulated, it came out prettay prettay bad.
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:54 AM   #5132
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by TheDean1 View Post
of course the c's should be like -500 to win game 7 due to matters of heart and the heat having used up all of their run good in game 6, and the fact that wahiv has become full blown waids. if waids is gonna waids and lebron gets shook in the 4th quarter, the heat are going to need like chalmers to dominate so gl with that.
lol did u just make a comment about sampling biases, and then use rungood as the basis for your game 7 prediction.

wat.

oh wait nvm you were being sarcastic (i think)
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:57 AM   #5133
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by TheDean1 View Post
this isn't the issue

the issue is that he's shook late in close games and is scared of playing his game on offense and attacking the hoop
he used to do it all the time in cleveland

dunno wtf happened
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:58 AM   #5134
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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lol did u just make a comment about sampling biases, and then use rungood as the basis for your game 7 prediction.

wat.

oh wait nvm you were being sarcastic (i think)
i'm just getting my casual fan on tbh

i'm always so ingrained in reality and deferential to the point spread, felt it might be fun to diverge from that one time.

of course i'm still going to blast others who made ridiculous logical leaps, however.
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:00 PM   #5135
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by TheDean1 View Post
no, i'm just pointing out how loltastic your lologic is

"it happened last time therefore it must be > 21% this time" is lolllllllllllll

is norfolk st > 21% to beat missouri if they had a rematch of the ncaa tourney round 1?
Dude, do you have a clue how to evaluate basketball? This has been a very even series and the Celtics have outplayed the Heat more often then not. The fact that they outplayed them in a very similar situation three days ago is VERY relevant.

You can't be serious with the norfolk st/missiouri analogy, can you? I mean, really dude?
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:02 PM   #5136
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by Goodie View Post
Dude, do you have a clue how to evaluate basketball? This has been a very even series and the Celtics have outplayed the Heat more often then not. The fact that they outplayed them in a very similar situation three days ago is VERY relevant.

You can't be serious with the norfolk st/missiouri analogy, can you? I mean, really dude?
Everyone who bets on basketball seems to disagree with you pretty hard
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:02 PM   #5137
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

what is the true % then goodie? you're saying the pinnacle line is significantly wrong, correct?
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:02 PM   #5138
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by Goodie View Post
Dude, do you have a clue how to evaluate basketball? This has been a very even series and the Celtics have outplayed the Heat more often then not. The fact that they outplayed them in a very similar situation three days ago is VERY relevant.

You can't be serious with the norfolk st/missiouri analogy, can you? I mean, really dude?
and despite that the line for every home/away game has basically been the exact same

but i'm sure the most reasonable explanation is you know something everyone else doesn't
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:03 PM   #5139
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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he used to do it all the time in cleveland

dunno wtf happened
totally, i'm pretty sure that he just became deeply affected by the public scrutiny starting with the 2010 playoffs. skip bayless broke him.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Goodie View Post
You can't be serious with the norfolk st/missiouri analogy, can you? I mean, really dude?
not surprised that you don't have the aptitude to see how that's analagous to the logic you used, given that you already demonstrated that you aren't good with logic.
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:03 PM   #5140
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Originally Posted by TheDean1 View Post
is the most recent lottery winner > 21% to win the next time they buy a lottery ticket?

seriously that's probably the most ridiculous logical leap anybody has made here in quite some time. i'm sure you have other reasons in your head for saying that, but based on what you articulated, it came out prettay prettay bad.
You just HAVE to be leveling. You know the differences between the lottery and an NBA basketball game, right? If you don't, you should literally never, ever, ever, ever post again, anywhere. But ESPECIALLY on a f'ing poker forum. My god, man.

My

God
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:03 PM   #5141
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

Lol Goodie
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:09 PM   #5142
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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what is the true % then goodie? you're saying the pinnacle line is significantly wrong, correct?
I'd go somewhere in the range of 40-45%. Obviously, I have homer bias in there so the real number is likely somewhere 35-40. But 21% seems insane to me.

Does everyone else agree that when evaluating the chances that the C's will win game 7, the game 5 performance is irrelevant?

I really don't understand why that would be the case. Wouldn't games played against each other, especially ones that have similar dynamics, be important to evaluating future results?
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:09 PM   #5143
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

http://espn.go.com/blog/boston/celti...or-a-trip-west

wow its ON.
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:10 PM   #5144
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

Watching Lebron tool on the Celtics in a boston bar was hilarious
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:11 PM   #5145
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

lol @ the last few pages
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:14 PM   #5146
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

Goodie, you know that they've played two other games in Miami besides game 5, right?
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:19 PM   #5147
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

Bosh doesn't seem to be getting over the vaginal strain with any expediency and wade looks old and defeated. I like lebrons chances but this feels a lot like when I used to watch cavs games after the heat would get eliminated in the first round
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:19 PM   #5148
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

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Goodie, you know that they've played two other games in Miami besides game 5, right?
Of course. They put up a dudd (no pun intended) in game 1, which was no surprise, and very nearly beat the Heat in Game 2.

So, three games there, won one, nearly won another and lost decisively a third. I'm not even really arguing the 21% anymore. Just someone tell me Dean is way off in his assessment that none of those games matter in determining likely outcomes for Saturday.
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:20 PM   #5149
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

They tracked down and interviewed the Good Job/Good Effort kid

http://www.wsvn.com/news/articles/lo...rt-kid-speaks/
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:21 PM   #5150
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Re: NBA ECF: Heat vs Celtics

You know what else matters? That they just lost by eleventy bazillion points on their own home court
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