Quote:
Originally Posted by Assani Fisher
Disagree with bolded. Much like pre-internet poker, the sample size is woefully inadequate to evaluate. I think you'd need 10,000+ draft picks to have anywhere close to a valid sample size when discussing a person's ability to draft well. Obviously we'll never get close to that, so I greatly prefer the method of evaluating the reasoning behind the picks rather than results oriented thinking.
So if he never drafts a player who turns out to be good at basketball, it would take you 5,000 years to determine he was bad at drafting?
Large sample size is important for figuring out exactly how good or how bad you are at something...doesn't take that long to figure out if you're really good or really bad tho.
We think the reasoning is good because it's a logic that people here tend to believe in. Even if he/us are using good logic, if he's still coming to the wrong conclusions & can never actually build a basketball team that can win games, it's not that useful.
We can 100% say he's great at trading & tanking & acquiring assets.
He PROBABLY is also good at drafting, but my only real point is we can't be 100% sure of that yet.