Mods, please edit in my Ruday Gay writeup into the draft-only thread:
Round 4; Pick 155 - Rudy Gay
Rudy Gay is a very young guy who has already shown that he can be a very effective player in the NBA. Last year he was a 20 ppg scorer on an awful team with a TS% of .547. That TS% may not seem that great to you, but for a 21 year-old who is the highest usage guy on a very poor team, that is very very impressive. Rudy is very versatile offensively: he can hit the 3 (.351 career shooter), can hit a mid-range jumper, and can finish around the basket. Defensively, he is a little harder to judge. His DRtg numbers have been bad, but that is very much a team-dependent stat. Looking at his per-36 numbers paints a much more promising picture (4.3 DRB, 1.3 stls, 1.1. blks, 3.0 PFs in his first two years in the league). Rudy seems to have all the physical attributes required to be an effective defender: length, quickness, athleticism. Players typically improve at the "mental" aspects of defense as the get older - so I think Rudy has some potential in this area, though I will concede that it is debatable whether he is the type of player who will ever put in the necessary amount of effort to be an elite defender.
Rudy played mostly at the 3 for the Grizzlies last year, but I was actually thinking of using him at the 2. He certainly has the skillset to succeed at that position offensively. Defensively, I would like some advice. Do you think Rudy has enough quickness to cover most 2s? I think he does, but I am definitely willing to listen to someone who has watched more Memphis games than I have. Playing him at the 2 and Detlef at the 3 would give me a very tall team, which would help both in creating mismatches on offense and contesting shots on D. However, with Detlef's and Gilbert's versatility, I can play Rudy at the 3 as well.
I've now put two good outside shooters around Gilbert, guys who can knock down the 3-ball if the defense collapses on Gilberts' drives. Also, with Gay's age and offensive potential, I have given my team an insurance policy in case Gilbert's injury problems flare up. Just as Gilbert will be hitting his late 20s and risking missing games due to injury, Gay will be hitting his peak. Based on his NBA performance so far, Gay in his peak looks to be a damn good Plan B as a #1 scoring option.
Team so far:
Dikembe Mutombo
Gilbert Arenas
Detlef Schrempf
Rudy Gay