If this is what you meant all along by "helped by this format" then I'll agree with you that there is A CHANCE that players like McHale/Penny will be helped by this format. However, I'm not going to say that either of them definitively wouldn't have had a similar career ark, as we simply don't know.
I will admit that I misunderstood what you meant by "helped by this format" though.
Yes that is what I meant by being helped by this format, I thought it was pretty obv when I broke it down vs Drob ldo.
And McHale has the same chance to get hurt as Jordan/Shaq/Lebron/Kobe etc. do imo, McHale was ridiculously durable until he played on a broken foot.
So why can't Jordan get hurt just like McHale did, he was very wreckless too, especially in his early years.
Jordan (or anyone else) could mess up his career in this league, and we could be talking about him as one of those potential great players who got hurt and didn't last.
Seriously. So gay balls. 25%? More like 85%. This league is pointless if it's all "well if he doesn't get hurt and he won't cuz I said so so grant hill is in the top 10 all time players and Shawn Kemp is in the HoF"
Are we talking about the same thing? By 25%, I mean the chances of Penny staying healthy and maintaining his level of performance, not of him getting injured.
And yeah, it's impossible to agree about these injured players, but there is just no way around it the way the rules are set up.
Taking a role player in the 2nd round seems a little crazy to me.
There are only so many shots to go around on these teams. Grant was a very good defender, a solid rebound, and an efficent 12-15 ppg scorer. Thats great for this format imo.
What you guys aren't realizing imo is that with "role players" in real life, many of them only score 4 or 5 points per game. In this draft, theres going to be a lot of role players who can score 10+ per game efficiently. So surround them with one or two bulk scorers and you're good to go.
Because its such a grey area for sample size and likelyhood of injury (before initial injury) it makes it hard to make definitive statements of what a player will give long term.
For the purposes of this draft, I think we have to factor actual injury in as at least a long-term propensity toward injury, regardless of whether the individual player actually possessed a long-term propensity toward injury.
Horace was the other guy I strongly considered. Nice pick.
with regards to Vlade (or anyone for that matter)
I'm not looking for "special", I'm looking for productivity. I'm looking to win ball games. Michael Redd is the epitome of a "special" shooter/scorer, yet is totally lacking in all other areas of his game. NOT just defense. He's a below average rebounder for his size. He's a below average passer. He's woeful on D.
Hardaway was GREAT one yaer.. definitely not "oh my god" incredible though. You could have definitely gotten similar players, some with peaks very close to Penny's, without the busted knee (which WILL happen, btw.. do some research about it. Dude was a freakish athlete who failed to work out, really).
Yes Penny was "OMG incredible." Read some of the posts I've written about him. Those stats are insane. The series against the Heat was insane. I must not understand your definition of incredible then. A point guard scoring 21 points on 60+ TS% and being a good defender....please find those qualities in any other player ever because I'm just not seeing them.
Your post listed no stats, listed no argument...basically listed nothing at all to negate Hardaway's prime years.
As I said, please find me any other PG ever who can play good defense and score in bulk with efficiency. Its the rarest of rare skillsets.
Stockton and Billupssssssssss. Both were better defenders and shooters than Penny too, holla.
But yes obv u are right (I said this when I drafted billups) and having a pg who can play great d/shoot elite (neither Penny did at elite, although he was an elite scorer) is the rarest and I only can count two in this entire 30 year draft (stockton and billups).