Quote:
Originally Posted by tdarko
I know what extrapolation is and I responded by saying:
Which is true. AI was mentioned. What about a guy like Grant Hill?
http://http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/hillgr01.html
After his 3rd year in the league we could make some assumptions but they would be meaningless and lead to uncertainty. He could continue to be great or he could be marginalized by injuries his entire career and be disappointing. Like Franchise said, peak is a great barometer but longevity should count as a positive not a negative.
Didn't mean to insult your intelligence about extrap, just spelling it out.
I agree, he could have some tragic injury-riddled career and this season may be his best ever. BUT, there's no reason to assume he won't be awesome with a slight risk obviously. It just seems like those other guys, while obviously hall of famers are "safe" picks, due to having longevity.
While CP3 could get hurt, he is much more likely to have a very successful NBA career, and is as good a bet as anyone to become the best PG of all time. And in our league, any of those other guys are just as likely to be injured as CP. So not a reach imo.