Quote:
Originally Posted by D104
With Bynum you're asking everyone to assume he's going to recover 100% and then @ age 24, roll of at least 5 years of 20/10 ball. Or you could take Nance, who at age 24-28 DID average 20/8 and 2 blocks. Taking Bynum there is just asking too much and shows a lack of NBA history knowledge.
D
I agree with the injury risk, but you are vastly underrating Bynum.
64% FG (Nance about 57% over your span), with just under half of those being dunks.
Already 10 boards and 2 blocks per game, despite not averaging full starters minutes. This is not a usage/efficiency curve issue. He was playing full minutes when he got injured, but he started the season behind KwameLOL on the depth chart. His performance actually got better as his minutes went up.
The Lakers this year were one of the fastest teams in the league, and thus a good 10 possessions/game SLOWER than Nance's PHX teams.
If Bynum is only putting up 20/8/2 at age 24, it will be a giant disappointment, and that's in spite of the 10% pace handicap.
If his knee fully heals, he will be the 2nd best bigman in the NBA for the next 10 years, and maybe even the best, depending on how age affects both guys. He has a better around-the-basket post game than DH already, but DH overcomes that with athleticism (when Bynum went down, he was 2nd in the league in dunks and 3rd wasn't even close. It was similarly not even close between DH and Bynum.)
Awesome pick, Nopairparker. I approve whole-heartedly!