Round 8 Pick 280
Keith Van Horn
I was hoping that I'd be able to get KVH, but didn't like my prospects considering I didn't have a pick for a while due to trading up earlier in the draft. Frankly, I think he is a huge steal here and a candidate for most overlooked player in the draft. The fact he has been close to a joke recently is to blame for this. But I get him coming off of two very solid 1st and 2nd seasons in the NBA.
As a rookie he averaged 19.7 ppg and 6.6 rpg with a steal and a 3 a game. His DRT was 103 and his FT% was 86%. His biggest knock, along with injuries is his very bad FG% which was 43% his rookie year. In his sophmore season he put up 21.8 and 8.5 with a steal and over a block and 3 a game. His FG% and TS% were very similar to his rookie season.
Considering all of the players who have been drafted based completely on potential, it is surprising to see a guy like this fall this far considering the numbers he put up before his 24 yr old season. At age 24 he scored 19ppg+, grabbed 8.5 rebounds and had just under a steal and a block a game. His shooting %'s improved a lot, he shot 44.5% from the field, 37% from 3, and 85% from the line for a TS% of 53.7 over the course of 80 games.
Obviously after this the wheels fell off (he still had a couple of productive seasons but didn't fulfill the promise he previously showed). There are a multitude of reasons as to why his career went downhill, some can be attributed to him, some to the situations he was in. The Nets became a trainwreck, and as they blew up his numbers declined. He then jumped from team to team and that was pretty much it.
I think he is the type of player that will benefit from a league like this, and I think he will be a very valuable player off of the bench who can play the forward spot. I think his %'s will be better as his usage lowers during his prime years. He is an underrated defender and rebounder (not good, but underrated still).
Don't get me wrong, I'm not arguing he will put up his 22-24 #'s for many years. But I do think that the decline doesn't have to be as drastic as it was during his career. He comes with issues and is far from a sure thing, but is he less likely to be a very solid contributor than a guy who was picked completely on potential? Going into his 24 yr old season he looked like a guy who would have a very solid career in the NBA. It didn't pan out that way, he was a guy who had some solid seasons and then pretty much went away. I do think he is great value here, a great fit coming off the bench, and has the ability to have a more prolonged and successful career in this format. Plus Marbury isn't on my team!
Now let me get to how he fits on my team, and my team in general. First let me start by saying I like my team a lot and think it will be able to compete now, in 5 years, and in 10 years in this league. I think all of my picks were solid values, and most were very solid picks. I think the team works well together, and gives me a lot of options. KVH adds a lot of flexibility for me when I want to go small as I can push Oakley to center at times and play a lineup of Stockton, Malone/Sprewell, Mullin/Sprewell, KVH, and Oakley or Z. I can play him at the 3 with a Stockton, Sprewell/Mullin, KVH, Oakley, Z lineup that is bigger, or I can just bring him off the bench at the 3 or 4 spot. He adds some needed ability to shoot the 3, and he is a decent rebounder. I also think playing with a guy like Stockton and other players with offensive credibility will help to deter his bad %'s of his early years. Basically what I like about him is that I think in the right fit he can be a huge boost as a second guy off the bench, and even jump into the starting lineup if need be. And I think my team is one of those teams that would be a very good fit for him and increase his chances of having a very productive career.
My Team:
PG: John Stockton
SG: Latrell Sprewell
SF: Chris Mullin
PF: Charles Oakley
C: Z
SG: Jeff Malone
SF/PF: Keith Van Horn
Last edited by Franchise 60; 07-08-2008 at 08:28 PM.