Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris Daddy Cool
btw. i am the biggest chris paul fan in the world but even i think taking him this high is crazy. one year of dominance cannot equal a decade and a half worth of excellence imo. i understand all the arguments about projections and stuff but take a guy like d-wade. after 05-06 he was the man, arguably up there with lebron on who's the next great one. now he has been riddled with injuries and could end up taking the t-mac route rather than the kobe route. cp3 has to have some sort of question marks considering he missed significant time just last year and has had several ankle scares. is his projected future really that much more valuable than stocton who is already a top 3 PG of all time?
I know I said this point above, but let me repeat it:
This is true, but just because we have seen a player's entire career doesn't mean that they'd be the same if we went back and re-did it all.
Imagine for a second that time simply repeats itself over and over again and the world we know it is just one of these many trials. Perhaps one of these great NBA players like Jordan, Malone, Hakeem, etc. performed at their absolute max during our run through, and that is just variance.
Now obviously having seen these players go through their careers once compared to those like Paul who we have seen zero times gives us a lot more confidence in taking them. Therefore I have no problem admitting Paul is a risky pick. But lets stop acting as if "OMG we have no clue how Paul will turn out, but all of these older guys are a surefire thing."
Many of you apparently disagree with me on this though, and I think thats great as it makes drafting more fun.