Quote:
Originally Posted by GeoffRas22
Eh, I kinda understand what he's saying. There's just something to the Chapman type closer that is discomforting. His career FIP is a full run lower than Rivera's, he strikes out twice as many guys per 9, gives up less homers per 9, he by all accounts has performed better than Rivera (although obviously for not nearly as long). With that being said, I can't imagine there's a single person who has watched both of them pitch who would truly rather have Chapman pitching than Rivera in a 1 run game. And that matters for the guy who is consistently going to be pitching at the end of close games.
I'm not saying he's "not clutch" or anything like that. I obv understand that over the course of a season Chapman is an extremely valuable pitcher, I just don't think volatile high variance pitchers were made to pitch the highest leverage situations. Even if it's not "right", I understand, as a fan, where Eddy is coming from and why he said what he said. For example, I bet Cubs fans feel a lot more comfortable watching late games with Wade Davis on the mound than Chapman.
a "high variance" pitcher is one who gives up nothing or a lot of runs.
if you have two guys who give up 10 runs over 50 innings, in one-run games I'd rather have the guy with 47 shut out innings and 3 blow ups than 10 innings where he gives up 1.
of course none of what eddy is saying is statistically true so the argument doesn't even make sense on it's face