Quote:
Originally Posted by mrbaseball
Depends on the game situation. Harder to shift when guys are on base which is when you want one of those 40 HRs. But going the other way or bunting to lead off an inning makes a lot of sense even for power hitters. More sense than trying to power through the shift. Do it enough to keep them honest and the avg and obp will rise as will his value as a ballplayer.
Ty Cobb pleaded with Ted Williams to bunt against the shift but Williams was an exceptional hitting talent who could hit will above .300 anyway. Most of these .240 hitting power guys getting shifted on nowadays aren't in that league. Wee Willie Keeler said it best "hit 'em where they ain't".
The shift mainly changes the results of ground balls -- that is, it significantly reduces the chances that a ground ball to the pull side will get through the infield. The effect on line drives is less significant.
People tend to overestimate how easy it is to intentionally hit the ball on the ground to the opposite field. It's especially difficult for power hitters whose swings are geared towards hitting the ball in the air. In general, you are more likely to hit the ball in the air when you are late and more likely to hit it on the ground when you pull the ball. That's why hitting fly balls to the pull side is so valuable. It's hard to do.
In fact, it's debatable whether, from AB to AB, hitters are even capable of changing the likelihood that they will hit the ball in the air or on the ground.