The Masters - 2018 - FORTY-FOUR REGULAR - Page 2 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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04-05-2018 , 10:23 AM

#27

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,805

Quote:

Originally Posted by DONKEY08811

would 3-1 odds of Tiger not finishing in the Top 5 reasonable???

If there were exactly and only 5 players finishing in the Top 5, then

-300 on Tiger NOT finishing T5
+300 on Tiger YES finishing T5

would represent Tiger having 5.6% chance to win the tournament (almost 17/1).

I don't know how many players are usually in the T5 on average though, so don't know what the exact numbers should be.

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04-05-2018 , 10:27 AM

#28

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,805

I have a different odds question, that I can get an approximate answer to based on Pinny odds, but I'm curious what people here think.

With this deep, great field, how many players would you need to get (you can pick anyone you want), for you to think you have at least 50% chance against the Field?

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04-05-2018 , 10:44 AM

#29

skiier04

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 5,345

IN for fading Tiger. **** him, but still watching his whole round obviously LOL.

Got Spieth, Matsuyama, Dechambeau and Oosty

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04-05-2018 , 10:45 AM

#30

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

Vijay said **** it, I'm gonna take this down myself.

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04-05-2018 , 10:45 AM

#31

DisGunBGud

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

Tiger always goes left on 1, good sign

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04-05-2018 , 10:46 AM

#32

revots33

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 13,454

Tiger left in the pine straw with his first tee shot. Swing looked a little tight and abbreviated. Even Tiger prob had some nerves on that first tee shot. Gonna need some short game magic to save par.

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04-05-2018 , 10:55 AM

#33

Malice's Attorney

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,077

Standard par for the

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04-05-2018 , 11:03 AM

#34

dth123451

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 15,502

Reminder; Vijay is a cheater

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04-05-2018 , 11:07 AM

#35

Outdrawed84

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 3,464

I can't think of anyone I'd want to win less than Vijay.

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04-05-2018 , 11:11 AM

#36

THAY3R

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 36,550

1 Vijay and 2 Mark O Meara, with Phil Tiger Sergio and Bubba tied for 3rd, love it

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04-05-2018 , 11:15 AM

#37

Fedfan691

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 4,374

pour this one in Tiger

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04-05-2018 , 11:32 AM

#38

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

Quote:

Originally Posted by dth123451

Reminder; Vijay is a cheater

What did he do? I forget.

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04-05-2018 , 11:33 AM

#39

Bidz

Hurts so good

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 32,688

TTWY

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04-05-2018 , 11:34 AM

#40

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

Olazabal. That's a name I've not heard in a long time.

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04-05-2018 , 11:36 AM

#41

Malice's Attorney

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,077

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ineedaride2

What did he do? I forget.

Deer antler spray

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04-05-2018 , 11:58 AM

#42

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,661

Bunker Woods so far

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04-05-2018 , 12:11 PM

#43

hair loss at 19_

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 2,753

Back to back bogeys. Love it

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04-05-2018 , 12:16 PM

#44

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Quote:

Originally Posted by DisGunBGud

Tiger always goes left on 1, good sign

Has he done any Crazy Ivans?

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04-05-2018 , 01:12 PM

#45

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,270

Mark Lieschman doing what we all expecteed

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04-05-2018 , 01:26 PM

#46

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

Quote:

Originally Posted by DisGunBGud

Tiger always goes left on 1, good sign

Woods always starts slow on Thursday. That's a good sign.

Quote

04-05-2018 , 01:27 PM

#47

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

Holy **** O'Meara, WHAT HAPPENED TO YOU!?

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04-05-2018 , 01:29 PM

#48

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

If Aphibarnrat is serious about this professional golfing gig, he's gonna need to change that ****ing name.

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04-05-2018 , 01:29 PM

#49

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

"Titleist: Used by pros everywhere. Pros like Aphibarnrat."

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04-05-2018 , 01:36 PM

#50

diskoteque

Joey Local

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 30,420

Quote:

Originally Posted by patron

If there were exactly and only 5 players finishing in the Top 5, then

-300 on Tiger NOT finishing T5

+300 on Tiger YES finishing T5

would represent Tiger having 5.6% chance to win the tournament (almost 17/1).

I don't know how many players are usually in the T5 on average though, so don't know what the exact numbers should be.

If I were taking the bet I wouldve offered something like 2.5 to 1

3:1 is too much based on where vegas had him to win imo

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