Quote:
Originally Posted by fallguy
At-rim percentage is era-specific - we're talking packed paints of previous eras vs today's open paints, so it's impossible to compare at rim percentages
Yeah perhaps it's much harder to score at the rim now with substantially more talented rim protectors around, who knows.
Quote:
Originally Posted by fallguy
Also, Ant's at-rim percentages trail 1st-three-peat Jordan despite the era disadvantage that MJ still faced (packed paints) and taller players (average height was 1 inch greater in the 80's and 90's than now).. MJ's at-rim percentage in 92' was 75% or something according to posting legend PHILA (here)
These don't look legitimate - they literally don't add up to MJ's actual verified stats:
MJ's 3P FG% during those 3 seasons: .338.
MJ's 3P FG% according to shot-tracking in a post from a deleted account: .383
These games also imply that MJ averaged 24.8 FGA per game, when he actually averaged 23.0. I'm going to assume that either some MJ fan made stuff up or a lot of games are available online specifically due to MJ's performance (who the hell cares about random Bulls games from the 90's otherwise), which adds a ton of bias here.
Also looks like people found that his tracking was way off when it comes things like on/off:
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/vie...6762#p75906762
Quote:
There is no way that +45 on/off net rating is remotely accurate.
1. Dipper had similarly high on/off estimates for Barkley (+36.3) and Hakeem (+34.5) but those estimates were disproven with Harvey Pollack's full season data.
Barkley net on/off
1987: +7.9
1988: +2.7
1989: +11.0
1990: +8.3
1991: +8.8
1992: +6.0
1993: ?
1994: +6.8
1995: +6.8
1996: +7.8
Hakeem net on/off
1994: +14.5
1995: +9.0
1996: +10.3
In none of the 12 full seasons did they come anywhere near the +35 on/off estimate over the same period.
So I'm guessing the guy is no bueno when it comes to tracking things accurately (or youtube games create way too much of a bias) which makes this whole data set rather suspect.
In particular, he has MJ at 629/847 at the rim, but just 679/1021 for at the rim + short mid-range (I assume this is within 10 feet). So did MJ really just shoot 50/174 or .287 from 3-10 feet in the literal physical prime of his career? I guess that's not impossible especially now that we've seen twog's GIFs and what they imply about MJ's tendency to take some terrible shots from this distance. But I have more respect for MJ than that and I'm fairly sure (assuming this is a legitimate effort) that this is due to the tracker being biased towards thinking that misses were not at the rim and the makes were at the rim.
This whole thing is quite funny given twog's proclamation:
Quote:
Originally Posted by fallguy
Edwards clearly lacks 6 to 15 foot shots that occur in heavy traffic, which require a touch and shot-making diversity that Ant lacks
MJ career 3-10 (in the tracking era) FG%: .377
Ant career 3-10 FG%: .382
MJ 3-10 at the peak of his powers according to the data set quoted by twog: .287
Just for fun:
Lebron career 3-10 FG%: .428
Lebron 3-10 FG at age 35+ (i.e. post MJ 2nd retirement age): .460