Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinarocket
What is the evidence behind semi home advantage and where is the evidence that the market is not weighing it if true?
Also the markets is also incapable of knowing that Senegal has good players or what?
There is no scientific evidence behind semi home advantage. That is precisely why you can take advantage from it.
If 538 has published an article about it the edge would be gone.
The Senegal thing is already mostly being recognized by the market imo. At one point it wasn’t but the market already adapted. Them being valued as the 11th most expensive squad only came yesterday but lines haven’t shifted at all.
My recommendation mostly comes from Colombia being overrated imo.
Poland is slight underrated. I’m just pointing out the Senegal stuff because they have a good roster so it’s feasible they could beat Colombia.
The expert move was calling me out from recommending Peru while at the same time saying Senegal should be at least decent because they have the 11th most expensive squad.
Peru is 30th but my alternative explanation is that the Brazilian league is hugely underrated.