Quote:
Originally Posted by Wooders0n
Fatigue is a tbing. Both physical and mental. Pressure is also a thing. I'd bet most pros convert much more in practice than they do in cup shootouts.
Of course they smash them in in practice but the whole point I am making is that the conversion rates are atrocious allowing for fatigue and pressure. If pressure takes you from a 80% shooter to a 50% shooter then you are a mental midget. This is why ze Germans beast shoot outs and the English fail hard.
Fatigue is of course a factor but it's a shot from 12 yards when you are capable of striking the ball 70mph+. Football goals are huge. 12 yards is a tiny distance relatively. The unsavable window of the goal is massive when the ball is struck hard. It's straightforward.
It's only in recent times teams have really been practicing hard, researching each other and using game theory etc. Yet look at the conversion rate. Barely changed, if at all.
The eye test penalty quality is shocking as well. Most misses are from **** penalties which will be saved 90%+ if the keeper dives the right way. Very few 'good' penalties miss. And a lot of **** penalties score! Even allowing for hitting the woodwork counting as 'good' it's still true. So to get down to a conversion rate as low as the reality think of the % of **** penalties. It's through the roof.
If all the teams are doing the preparation it balances it out you might say. Well that is true to a point, but when you can hit an unsavable penalty then there should be some sort of upward trend as game theory is irrelevant at that point.
Look how badly 2 of the Portuguese penalties were taken. They were taken no better than a random Sunday league player could manage. Fatigue and pressure turns you from an elite player into a low skilled amateur at that moment at a simple football skill? Then you suck.