Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteBlow
I notice you didn't choose to tackle the point about the Wood goal.
1) you are assuming that i/others are looking at this
and going oh interesting palace were 1.31 goals better than burnley today. that's not how it works. that's not what anyone is doing
you're holding the thing up to an impossibly precise standard and then complaining when it doesn't reach it
2) note that the chance you're talking about where the bloke was through on goal is marked down as a chance he should score 22% of the time,
whereas a random tekkers shot at the other end
from about the same position on the pitch is marked as a 2% shot because it was against a packed and set defense,
so they
are taking stuff like whether the bloke was through on goal into account when assigning xG to chances