English Football 2016-2017: NOW WITH 100% LESS FANERIO - Page 1263 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

This seems about right.

Spurs have 4 games on the road, two at home. The two home games are MU and ARS

Chelsea has 4 home games and 2 road games.

Short of a Chelsea implosion, Spurs aren't getting there.

04-17-2017 , 11:00 AM

#31553

TheGramuel

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Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 8,039

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheHip41

Included in our road games are:
- West Ham (which they're always up for [insert "their cup final" joke here])
- Palace (managed by Big Sam and still not safe)
- Hull (maybe still fighting for survival

I think about 20-1 or 25-1 seems about right. Even if we win out it's still only going to be enough like 70% of the time.

04-17-2017 , 11:26 AM

#31554

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 14,054

If Spurs win out, Chelsea have to win 5 of their remaining games - that's a tough ask considering how bad they were against Man Utd.

04-17-2017 , 11:36 AM

#31555

TheGramuel

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Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 8,039

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

If Spurs win out, Chelsea have to win 5 of their remaining games - that's a tough ask considering how bad they were against Man Utd.

I guess @WBA and @Everton might be tough, can't see anything but a Chelsea win in the other 4. That said I couldn't see anything but a Chelsea win at home to Palace either.

Tbh I also don't see us winning out, while I think we're favourites in every single game left I suspect we don't win vs Man Utd >50% of the time, don't win vs Arsenal, at West Ham or Leicester like 40% of the time etc etc.

04-17-2017 , 11:45 AM

#31556

joejoe1337

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Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 16,286

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

If Spurs win out, Chelsea have to win 5 of their remaining games - that's a tough ask considering how bad they were against Man Utd.

What are the chances of Spurs winning out though?

04-17-2017 , 11:46 AM

#31557

KDawg

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Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 21,033

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheGramuel

He went to both legs of the CL semi-final against Valencia, it's all been downhill since kick-off in the first leg for him.

Think I'll have to get my Seth Johnson shirt out to annoy him. Or my "Peter Ridsdale <3 Tropical Fish 4eva" one.

'Tis dale is the obvious burn, but, methinks the Seth Johnson shirt would be a case of the clap for him. And there's no penicillin around to cure him

04-17-2017 , 11:50 AM

#31558

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 8,132

04-17-2017 , 11:59 AM

#31559

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 75,201

Think Brighton just won promotion. They've come a long way from ground sharing in Kent and playing at dog tracks

04-17-2017 , 11:59 AM

#31560

Consty

resident wizard

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 10,134

Newcastle choke alert.

04-17-2017 , 12:02 PM

#31561

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 14,054

Quote:

Originally Posted by joejoe1337

What are the chances of Spurs winning out though?

Long odds obviously, but then we have won our last 7 and only really looked like dropping points v Swansea.

I was really answering Gramuel's point that we only win the title 70% of the time when we win out - I think it's more favourable than that.

04-17-2017 , 12:04 PM

#31562

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 75,201

Quote:

Originally Posted by Consty

Newcastle choke alert.

Even if they somehow choked away automatic, the rest of the playoff teams are garbage so they'll be fine

04-17-2017 , 12:05 PM

#31563

TheGramuel

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

I was really answering Gramuel's point that we only win the title 70% of the time when we win out - I think it's more favourable than that.

Yeah I had it in my head they only needed to win 4 games, my maths were apparently failing today. Too much Easter drinking.

04-17-2017 , 12:07 PM

#31564

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 75,201

Plymouth, Pompey also up to L1, Chezzy down from there, Orient somehow not down yet

04-17-2017 , 12:14 PM

#31565

ashley12

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Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10,697

Terry not coming back to Chelsea next season as per beeb

I for one, am shocked... SHOCKED!!

04-17-2017 , 12:21 PM

#31566

bazooka87

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Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 22,144

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOIDS

venkys taking the plunge with us will soften the blow at least

So there's a decent chance Wigan and Blackburn will drop and we'll be promoted?

hnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnng

04-17-2017 , 12:22 PM

#31567

PeteBlow

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Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 14,818

FFS Leeds. Out of the play off places.

Or to put a positive spin on it..

If we get back in and make it into the top 6, it would mean we finished on a good run, which means we have momentum, which means we win the playoff.

04-17-2017 , 12:29 PM

#31568

Stu Ungar

self-banned

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 5,000

I looked at the upcoming fixtures, game by game, and my initial assessment of 15-20% title chance for Spurs might be a skosh too high..maybe more like 10-12%.

Really little to zero chance we win out. After the big Chelsea FA semi we play at Palace, which I really don't think we win..I can see us losing or settling for a Draw.

Chelsea would have to drop several points in the stretch run and even then it would be a longhsot that we bink the league..

04-17-2017 , 12:48 PM

#31569

MindFckr

Classic Arsenal GHW

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 25,912

Cmon guys. if Chelsea play like they have on Sunday you have a great shot at this. Don't be so negative.

I do think Chelsea will win it tho, but tilts me how everyone is so rational and balanced. We need a Spurs fan who is the equivalent of NicReynolds for Plop

04-17-2017 , 01:00 PM

#31570

Tall Paul

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Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 9,417

Quote:

Originally Posted by sixfour

Think Brighton just won promotion. They've come a long way from ground sharing in Kent and playing at dog tracks

It's amazing what a small club can achieve with a chairman who is willing to invest a quarter of a billion pounds.

04-17-2017 , 01:05 PM

#31571

Tall Paul

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Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 9,417

Zola gone.

04-17-2017 , 01:13 PM

#31572

kingweed

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Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 46,764

Quote:

Originally Posted by HH

I had high hopes for that at the start but turns out it wasn't even remotely funny. Terrible effort.

04-17-2017 , 01:19 PM

#31573

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 75,201

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tall Paul

It's amazing what a small club can achieve with a chairman who is willing to invest a quarter of a billion pounds.

Of course, still a big change from nearly busto/out of the league regardless

Can't find the betting thread but LFCUSA settled our season bet for feedback purposes