Great essay on narratives. Slow in the beginning but very interesting overall.

The Story Trap

Even smart people dont understand variance. Poker just makes the concept way too evident for you but if you dont experience it in such a direct manner the temptation to look for narratives is just too much.

SugarNut - since it's Christmas, I'll be kind - **** off, you cretin.

not having sugarnut on ignore by now is like browsing without adb.lock

Welcome to TBLITW thread SN! Happy holidays!

LOOK GUYS. I HAVE HIM ON IGNORE!!!!

These are getting better and better by the day

They couldn't afford the sauce.

Had to check for "u" or "i" in your name

Well I don't know what everyone else's stance on this is in here, but I lean towards the opinion that value added, by a manager, in terms of results in the short run is minuscule versus what the playing-personnel looks like.
Now, that's not to say that they can't have long-term influences on the squad, culture and inner workings of clubs and thus in the long-term, say a 7+ year period, an elite manager could probably have a significant effect on long term performance. Pity we almost never see that happen.
There's too much money and too much player+fan power in football. Managers have probably a 10-15 game survival cutoff where if they catch bad variance or run bad with injuries and significantly "underperform" the knee-jerking commences and it's off with their heads.

The ability for a manager to have any significant long-term effect has been taken out of their hands. If their lucky enough to walk into a set-up where everything is already almost perfect (Guardiola, both times) or lucky enough to run hot and trick people into thinking they're more important than they actually are, they can go on to perhaps have a long-term positive effect. But by that time someone will have come in and offered more money and the cycle keeps on trucking. We see it all the time. At this point a manager is pretty much just a glorified fall-guy.

That's my over-arching theory, at least. Not that I think it's necessarily worth anything.

You're dumped. Slut.

looks like mourinho + mun is going to happen. sickening

will be praying every night for total failure

not even a pm...classy

a friend of mine who supports Chelsea did say that the Legend TSO wouldn't manage another English club because he loves Chelsea so much. Can't wait to talk to him about this again. I know I should choose my friends better, but what can I say, my ex is a west ham fan

We all make mistakes, but at least you may have learned from it.

Do you think Andy Gray is dead or is this a clever joke I don't understand?

*andy grey

Take a bow son

That should land you a quality Cognac or Armagnac. Without knowing exactly what's available, you can certainly buy an XO Cognac and hopefully find some Marie Duffau vintage Armagnacs

It was just banter

seems like all the twitter IDKs are saying LVG is sacked and Giggs is taking over. one time!

these really don't take a lot of work but they're hard not to laugh at

Rumours that Pep might choose Chelsea over City because his wife prefers London. Gonna be a fun few months if you're into the rumour mill thing.

Edit: Okay german article that I read quotes the Daily Mail. Didn't catch that the first time around, disregard

Which? Nothing new on the united reddit page, and they are pretty OCD with rumors.