Quote:
Originally Posted by Sugar Nut
However, since most of you guys think that coaches are worth jack ****, and that pösting colourful pictures on the internet with some numbers sprinkled on is the pinnacle of football analysis, I assume most of you think that 2p2's goofball >>> Pep Guardiola.
Well I don't know what everyone else's stance on this is in here, but I lean towards the opinion that value added, by a manager, in terms of results in the short run is minuscule versus what the playing-personnel looks like.
Now, that's not to say that they can't have long-term influences on the squad, culture and inner workings of clubs and thus in the long-term, say a 7+ year period, an elite manager could probably have a significant effect on long term performance. Pity we almost never see that happen.
There's too much money and too much player+fan power in football. Managers have probably a 10-15 game survival cutoff where if they catch bad variance or run bad with injuries and significantly "underperform" the knee-jerking commences and it's off with their heads.
The ability for a manager to have any significant long-term effect has been taken out of their hands. If their lucky enough to walk into a set-up where everything is already almost perfect (Guardiola, both times) or lucky enough to run hot and trick people into thinking they're more important than they actually are, they can go on to perhaps have a long-term positive effect. But by that time someone will have come in and offered more money and the cycle keeps on trucking. We see it all the time. At this point a manager is pretty much just a glorified fall-guy.
That's my over-arching theory, at least. Not that I think it's necessarily worth anything.