English Football 2015-16 - Leicester City won the league
11-29-2015
, 10:35 PM
Quote:
Alright Fan, I did some research and you're obv a decent sized sportsbetter and well respected (should have just told me to look up Zeestein and I wouldn't have dragged it out so long!) so with that plus I can't imagine you'll roll the whole thread means I'm ok with no escrow for the 1k fpl bet. Didn't sound like you were worried about me either so QTB...
Spoiler:
11-30-2015
, 12:02 AM
11-30-2015
, 12:08 AM
11-30-2015
, 04:17 AM
11-30-2015
, 07:21 AM
11-30-2015
, 07:35 AM
ffs looked so good with the addition of another intelligent "off-the-ball mover" in ramsey in the 1st half.
with alexis injury and ramsey naturally fading in the 2nd after just coming back we had no punch in the 2nd
santi too 
also alexis
and
doesn't sound good at all
advancing vs olimpiakos starting to become less likely by the minute
with alexis injury and ramsey naturally fading in the 2nd after just coming back we had no punch in the 2nd
Quote:
In the first half he got a kick on the knee and it got worse. I don’t know if he has jaded his knee ligament or he it was just a kick on the nerve but the worrying."
also alexis
Quote:
"He says it is a kick on his hamstring. I fear the reality is worse than that."
Quote:
For Koscielny it was a kick on his hip and he could not move at all. We have to assess all of that
advancing vs olimpiakos starting to become less likely by the minute
11-30-2015
, 07:57 AM
11-30-2015
, 08:16 AM
btw vardy's goal demonstrates fairly well how there are still many important variables missing for "xg" so a lot of shots are pretty far off the mark
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%
11-30-2015
, 09:00 AM
If it wasn't for luck he'd win 'em all. He can also dodge bullets, just not when they're being fired by Daniel Levy or Randy Lerner.
Diafra Sahko is out for two months, so I'll do my crying ITT now before it gets swamped by Arsenal fans doing the same over whoever got injured this week.
Diafra Sahko is out for two months, so I'll do my crying ITT now before it gets swamped by Arsenal fans doing the same over whoever got injured this week.
11-30-2015
, 11:00 AM
Quote:
btw vardy's goal demonstrates fairly well how there are still many important variables missing for "xg" so a lot of shots are pretty far off the mark
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%
There is some encouraging long-run correlation between xG and actual though or am I imaging that I read about that some time?
In any case, De Gea was uncharacteristically uninspiring in that Vardy goal, just kind of meh'd it. Although I guess we have come to expect too much of him.
11-30-2015
, 11:42 AM
Quote:
btw vardy's goal demonstrates fairly well how there are still many important variables missing for "xg" so a lot of shots are pretty far off the mark
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%
P.S. The "real" xG for Vardy's shot is below 40 %. I've noticed generally people overestimate the quality of most scoring chances for some reason.
