btw vardy's goal demonstrates fairly well how there are still many important variables missing for "xg" so a lot of shots are pretty far off the mark
it's down as a fairly low equity scoring chance because the angle isn't too favorable.
vardy had a lot of space/time on the ball though and degea basically had to commit himself.
that situation is completely different to someone having to take a shot from a cross in a crowded box from the same position for example.
vardy's a 40-60% scoring chance i reckon while the latter would be only like 10%