English Football 2015-16 - Leicester City won the league - Page 725 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

Hello guys, sorry to intrude but I follow this forum regularly and don't know of a better place to post this question. If anyone does, please let me know.

In a 2-team league with the occasional outsider champion like La Liga, if I want to bet that Barcelona will win it 10 years in a row, what would be a fair odd? Suppose it's June 2015 btw.
The bet is actually about the portuguese league, but it's pretty much the same thing.

about 150/1 if they have 60% equity every year for 10 years. (0.6 power 10)

11-12-2015 , 01:14 PM

#18102

philipsaurus

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 5,246

Quote:

Originally Posted by DuckSauce

I'll be using my cash lineup and have no desire to fiddle with additional cash style lineups)

you have no desire to win money? i know you can't be wagering that much in soccer dfs simply because high stakes doesn't run. i would imagine 1k would be enough incentive to do a few hours more work.

11-12-2015 , 01:16 PM

#18103

MindFckr

Classic Arsenal GHW

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 25,598

Guys I don't remember if talked about the Löic Remy incident vs Stoke.
Remy is through on goal, could go down for the red+pen, but tries to go on and score.

Hughes after the game.

Quote:

Credit to him [Remy] for that. Time and time again you see players look to take a tumble. He could have been more cynical but he tried to score

Shearer

Quote:

He's impeded him. There's no contact, but Remy doesn't have to jump over him. He jumps over him because otherwise he's getting brought down. Absolute certain penalty.

Ian Wright

Quote:

We're getting into murky water if we start penalising the goalkeeper for not touching people

so LOL REMY for not going down and getting a pen+red or props to him for going on and try to score?

With today's rules I'm leaning towards the 1st one, because it gets a pen+red and they had a couple of minutes to go still to get the win. What do you guys think?

11-12-2015 , 01:21 PM

#18104

heh

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 10,270

American beer is fine. Some really good brews coming out of smaller breweries.
Having said that, I think you can probably find good beer from any country and the UK has some damned fine porters for instance.

11-12-2015 , 01:24 PM

#18105

Giroudgeous

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 1,872

I think Shearer's right - the reason Remy is off balance and misses is because he's hurdled the keeper.

11-12-2015 , 01:25 PM

#18106

BookerT

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 328

Going by the information we have today, I wonder what would be a good average per-year estimate that Bayern wins the league over the next 10 years. 70-75%?

11-12-2015 , 01:27 PM

#18107

ZAIDS

it’s coming home again

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 6,633

It's stupid not to go down there or anytime that happens. Refs will wrongly just play on because they have no balls to make a decision in the box and players shouldn't get any credit for staying on their feet.

11-12-2015 , 01:28 PM

#18108

xXDeuce7Xx

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 10,837

Can't say I'm too surprised lfcyank thinks craftbeering is exclusive to USA#1. That being said, I've had some unbelievably good US craftbeers. But then again, I've had some unbelievably good danish, swedish and norwegian craftbeers as well.

11-12-2015 , 01:29 PM

#18109

bronbron006

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 7,604

worst thread ever

what did TSO have for breakfast, and whose fault was it

11-12-2015 , 01:29 PM

#18110

DuckSauce

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 11,741

Quote:

Originally Posted by philipsaurus

you have no desire to win money? i know you can't be wagering that much in soccer dfs simply because high stakes doesn't run. i would imagine 1k would be enough incentive to do a few hours more work.

I can get as much volume as I want for the most part. 1 lu is non negiotiable.

11-12-2015 , 01:30 PM

#18111

Lars1

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 4,971

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingweed

RIP.

--

Our revenue will top £500m, first club to hit that figure.

good thing LVG has solved football

11-12-2015 , 01:30 PM

#18112

vruuuuk

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 2,423

I thought it would be much higher, something like 300:1. I know nothing about it as well.
I hope you are correct thou because it would mean that I wasn't ripped off that much

Edit: for reference, the bet was made in May 2013 that Benfica would win in Portugal 10 year in a row. I was just being cocky about it and a drunk friend wanted to bet. I didn't want to take advantage of a drunk guy so I bet at 50:1. It was just for fun, but I guess I should have demanded for a better price.

Last edited by vruuuuk; 11-12-2015 at 01:37 PM.

11-12-2015 , 01:32 PM

#18113

ZAIDS

it’s coming home again

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 6,633

Take Messi out and you're looking at probably close or > 1000/1

11-12-2015 , 01:59 PM

#18114

Wilfred1

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 2,267

Shearer is right - should have been a penalty
Mourinho is right - Chelsea don't get penalties
Lineker is right - Remy musn't be the penalty taker

Ian Wright is wrong like alot of stuff hes wrong about

11-12-2015 , 02:11 PM

#18115

LostOstrich

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 15,933

updated to reflect current odds to qualify

Spoiler:

11-12-2015 , 02:13 PM

#18116

Liverpool

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 7,079

Quote:

Originally Posted by LFC_USA

Europe doesn't do a damn thing better than USA because USA #1

FYP

11-12-2015 , 02:15 PM

#18117

Liverpool

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 7,079

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZAIDS

It's stupid not to go down there or anytime that happens. Refs will wrongly just play on because they have no balls to make a decision in the box and players shouldn't get any credit for staying on their feet.

Pretty much this. Such an idiotic decision for Remy to stay on his feet. Easy penalty and you earn your team a point.

11-12-2015 , 02:18 PM

#18118

MindFckr

Classic Arsenal GHW

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 25,598

Quote:

Originally Posted by LostOstrich

updated to reflect current odds to qualify

Spoiler:

2nd to bottom in $EV...will ship this 4-0 tho

11-12-2015 , 02:19 PM

#18119

Cinarocket

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 14,775

Quote:

Originally Posted by LostOstrich

updated to reflect current odds to qualify

Spoiler:

thank god for variance

11-12-2015 , 02:21 PM

#18120

BertieWooster

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,353

Quote:

Originally Posted by LostOstrich

updated to reflect current odds to qualify

Spoiler:

How can I have more $EV than Cina and Mindfckr when I have the underdog in every game?

11-12-2015 , 02:24 PM

#18121

vruuuuk

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 2,423

Lord Bendtner hidden EV.

11-12-2015 , 02:27 PM

#18122

LostOstrich

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 15,933

Quote:

Originally Posted by BertieWooster

How can I have more $EV than Cina and Mindfckr when I have the underdog in every game?

if you go 0-4 you win $80

Basically the lowest EV will be the guys with 2 favourites and 2 dogs

11-12-2015 , 02:29 PM

#18123

BertieWooster

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,353

Quote:

Originally Posted by LostOstrich

if you go 0-4 you win $80

Basically the lowest EV will be the guys with 2 favourites and 2 dogs

Oh sweet, I thought it was winner take all for some reason. Thanks for producing those graphics, btw.

11-12-2015 , 02:32 PM

#18124

BertieWooster

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,353

thanks a lot for the FPP advice, guys, think the FPP satties are my best bet so cheers HH

11-12-2015 , 02:39 PM

#18125

ZAIDS

it’s coming home again

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 6,633

Quote:

Originally Posted by Liverpool

Pretty much this. Such an idiotic decision for Remy to stay on his feet. Easy penalty and you earn your team a point.

If he had managed to scoop the ball in somehow, he would have been praised further for his efforts. Glad he missed and team lost.

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