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Old 08-21-2015, 06:08 AM   #5901
joejoe1337
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Quote:
Originally Posted by aoFrantic View Post
I doubt it. How often are players shooting from half without the goalie being off? Never. So its not some .01% thing.
Sorry I was being a bit coy, what I was getting at was, are the players that really selfishly shoot from 30-40 yards out like Townsend disproportionally benefited because when they miss it makes little difference?
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Old 08-21-2015, 06:14 AM   #5902
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Re: English Football 2015-16

LFC_USA/Elrazor would be sporting the jizziest of pants if the list had Coutinho/Eriksen up high.

It's hilarious how the mere presence of Vela combined with a clear lack of understanding in terms of what is being shown = rustled
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:06 AM   #5903
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Re: English Football 2015-16

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Originally Posted by joejoe1337 View Post
Sorry I was being a bit coy, what I was getting at was, are the players that really selfishly shoot from 30-40 yards out like Townsend disproportionally benefited because when they miss it makes little difference?
Only if they shoot better from that position than the average player or run hot.

But the stats don't account for opportunity cost.
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:29 AM   #5904
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Brag: I won the Hot 55 last night!

Beat: It was the Hot $0.55
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:31 AM   #5905
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Re: English Football 2015-16

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Originally Posted by joejoe1337 View Post
Bit of a newb about this, but does it disproportionately reward the same guy when he binks a half way line shot?
i really dont know anything about it other than the basic premise, but no. or at least, it seeks not to.

--

for the people that dont get it yet, i'll have another try:

the reason messi is >>>>> vela is because when vela gets the ball on the edge of the D he turns and takes a 0.1 xG shot, ie a shot which will result in a goal 10% of the time on average. vela, as we know from the $tat$, will convert that chance a bit more than xG would predict, so it'll go in ~11% of the time

messi gets the ball on the edge of the D, puts on his floppy blue wizard hat with yellow stars, does some sort of congolese ju-ju on the back 4, ends up 1 on 1 with the keeper and takes a 0.8 xG shot. messi converts even more often than xG predicts, so lets say it'll go in ~85% of the time.

the amount the two will convert their respective chances relative to what xG expects is not too different, yet messi scores way more often due to his ju-ju.

so hopefully i have demonstrated that two players can be quite close in terms of performance vs xG and yet miles apart in terms of production/value/talent and so on
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:34 AM   #5906
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Re: English Football 2015-16

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Originally Posted by LostOstrich View Post
Brag: I won the Hot 55 last night!

Beat: It was the Hot $0.55
Was posting my congrats when I noticed the white text.

Congrats anyway!
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:45 AM   #5907
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Re: English Football 2015-16

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Originally Posted by MirZolzayn View Post
Sturridge to return to England Today, according to plan he should be fit to old trafford trip.
Seems like an absolutely terrible game to bring him back for
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:56 AM   #5908
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Leicester market favourites to beat Spurs tomorrow. Times are a changing.
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Old 08-21-2015, 07:57 AM   #5909
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Re: English Football 2015-16

i think you'll find that lolspuds is nothing new
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:09 AM   #5910
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Anyone looking for a ZonalMarking alternative, I recommend outsideoftheboot.com.
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:10 AM   #5911
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Re: English Football 2015-16

cheers. looks good from first glance
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:29 AM   #5912
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Thanks for the explanation Baids/PNHH.
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:36 AM   #5913
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Re: English Football 2015-16

der model is clearly flawed if Aguero/Suarez aren't amongst the top 20 finishers in the world.
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:40 AM   #5914
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Quote:
Originally Posted by LostOstrich View Post
Brag: I won the Hot 55 last night!

Beat: It was the Hot $0.55
Congrats, Lol

How much for first?
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:40 AM   #5915
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Seeking recommendations for good pubs to watch footy this weekend in London and on Monday in Edinburgh. Availability of good beer is important. TIA
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:46 AM   #5916
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Re: English Football 2015-16

No good pubs in London.
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:46 AM   #5917
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Quote:
Originally Posted by Consty View Post
Leicester market favourites to beat Spurs tomorrow. Times are a changing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAIDS View Post
i think you'll find that lolspuds is nothing new
Surely it's a case of Leicester having only lost to Chelsea at home since February and the yearly Spurs handicap of signing key players on deadline day.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kutuz_off View Post
Seeking recommendations for good pubs to watch footy this weekend in London and on Monday in Edinburgh. Availability of good beer is important. TIA
It's going to be 88f in London tomorrow, so make sure the pub has air conditioning!
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:52 AM   #5918
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Re: English Football 2015-16

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Originally Posted by LFC_USA View Post
Seems like an absolutely terrible game to bring him back for
Regardless of who the game is against he won't be starting straight away. You have to assume that Rodgers will ease him in considering his horrific propensity to pick up injuries every time the wind changes direction.
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Old 08-21-2015, 08:58 AM   #5919
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Re: English Football 2015-16

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Originally Posted by Human Halo View Post
Congrats, Lol

How much for first?
BOUT TREE FIDDY (really, it was $359)

btw am I the only one who's suspicious of the fact that SWANZ have now drifted out to 2.1 to beat Sunderland this weekend? It feels like a trap.
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Old 08-21-2015, 09:01 AM   #5920
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Re: English Football 2015-16

I'm spamming the skype chat with it, but you guys are offline

also grats...treefiddy makes it that much sweeter
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Old 08-21-2015, 09:07 AM   #5921
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Re: English Football 2015-16

no. due to the fact that the trap is so obvious and so cavernous, everyone has piled on the other side to avoid the trap

like when the vietcong would install a visible punji stick trap on the ground, you'd go round the big rock to avoid it, trip a wire, and a big block of mud with sharpened bamboo sticks stuck in it would fall on your noggin. by avoiding the obvious trap you triggered the real trap

as usual, the correct thing to do is just to look at the fundamentals and ignore everything else: sunderland are dog**** therefore swanz will win 4-1
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Old 08-21-2015, 09:33 AM   #5922
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liverpool View Post
Regardless of who the game is against he won't be starting straight away. You have to assume that Rodgers will ease him in considering his horrific propensity to pick up injuries every time the wind changes direction.
Of course, but level or down a goal at Old Trafford chasing the game, we're gonna throw on a freshly back from injury Daniel Sturridge to grab us the needed goal? I'm just terrified of him being made of glass. Bring him on at home against Norwich
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Old 08-21-2015, 09:34 AM   #5923
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Re: English Football 2015-16

Quote:
Originally Posted by MindFckr View Post
I'm spamming the skype chat with it, but you guys are offline

also grats...treefiddy makes it that much sweeter
Is this Skype chat super exclusive? Sounds like something I need to join
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Old 08-21-2015, 09:36 AM   #5924
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Re: English Football 2015-16

It is super inclusive, we've SirGaribaldi in it... says it all really (pm skype and I'll add you)
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Old 08-21-2015, 09:47 AM   #5925
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Re: English Football 2015-16

SirGaribaldi GOAT
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