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Old 08-17-2015, 01:43 PM   #5501
DuckSauce
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liverpool View Post
Has this been confirmed? Some random bloke on Twitter is saying that Lallana keeps his place in the side.
It's realistic enough as that was the lu that finished the game vs stoke, and coincided with pool looking the best.
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Old 08-17-2015, 01:51 PM   #5502
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Originally Posted by LostOstrich View Post
I for one would enjoy seeing the math behind this. I've had a busy day and I could use a good laugh!
Okay. I'm not sure of this theory anymore when I think of it. Maybe I'm doing something wrong, but here it goes:

Okay so let's say you get 1:1 odds and use the bet for that. Let's say you bet 25 dollars free bet. Let's say your team wins 50% of the time to make it simple, so 100% return. If we do like 94% return on both multipliers, I think the math would be the same.

So 50% of the time you win 25 dollars = 12.5 dollars on average of EV

50% of the time you lose nothing cos it was a free bet = 0 dollars on average of EV

So you win 12.5 dollars on average every time you bet.

Then let's say you're getting 16:1 odds. 25 dollars free bet. So your team wins 1 out of 17 times, whatever percentage that is.

So 1 out of 17 times you win 400 dollars = 23.5294118 dollars on average of EV

16 out of 17 times you lose nothing cos free bet = 0 dollars of EV

So you win 23.5 dollars on average when you bet.

idk there's a chance I'm wrong, but there's my math.
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Old 08-17-2015, 01:51 PM   #5503
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Originally Posted by DuckSauce View Post
It's realistic enough as that was the lu that finished the game vs stoke, and coincided with pool looking the best.
I hope that's the starting lineup personally.
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Old 08-17-2015, 01:52 PM   #5504
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Ya it's prob their best lu.
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Old 08-17-2015, 01:55 PM   #5505
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Ya it's prob their best lu.
With Lovren in? that's offensive
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Old 08-17-2015, 01:59 PM   #5506
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Source is wrong. Ibe and Lallana start.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:00 PM   #5507
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Re: English Football 2015/16

I had not seen Joe Gomez before but wasn't he very right-footed playing the left-back?


Rodgers and his ideas at it again I guess.

Spoiler:
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:00 PM   #5508
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Confirmed #LFC team v @afcbournemouth: Mignolet, Clyne, Lovren, Skrtel, Gomez, Henderson, Milner, Coutinho, Lallana, Ibe, Benteke

Confirmed #LFC subs v @afcbournemouth: Bogdan, Toure, Firmino, Moreno, Can, Origi, Ings

Last edited by MirZolzayn; 08-17-2015 at 02:01 PM. Reason: identical to last week
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:01 PM   #5509
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Cherries XI to face #LFC: Boruc, Francis, Elphick, Cook, Daniels, Ritchie, O'Kane, Surman, Gradel, King, Wilson. #afcb #LIVBOU

Substitutes to face #LFC: Federici, Smith, Distin, Mings, Gosling, Pugh, Tomlin. #afcb #LIVBOU

Last edited by MirZolzayn; 08-17-2015 at 02:02 PM. Reason: Distin should start imo
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:01 PM   #5510
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Re: English Football 2015/16

No Sahko in the side again. Disappointed that there weren't some changes.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:05 PM   #5511
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Ibe
IBEEEEE
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:07 PM   #5512
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Re: English Football 2015/16

I'd rather see firmino is action 10x
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:13 PM   #5513
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Is sakho injured?
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:14 PM   #5514
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Is sakho injured?
No. Rodgers doesn't rate him yet starts Lovren every game. Makes no sense.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:16 PM   #5515
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Tweeted Ibe to let him know he is my fantasy team...hope he can handle the pressure
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:16 PM   #5516
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Originally Posted by Liverpool View Post
No. Rodgers doesn't rate him yet starts Lovren every game. Makes no sense.
But toure is in the squad and sakho is not

Last edited by MirZolzayn; 08-17-2015 at 02:18 PM. Reason: if we're selling him Imma cry so hard
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:17 PM   #5517
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Originally Posted by MindFckr View Post
Tweeted Ibe to let him know he is my fantasy team...hope he can handle the pressure
Expect to see I've and lallana subbed like last game prob if they sputter offensively.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:22 PM   #5518
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Quote:
Originally Posted by raheem View Post
Okay. I'm not sure of this theory anymore when I think of it. Maybe I'm doing something wrong, but here it goes:

Okay so let's say you get 1:1 odds and use the bet for that. Let's say you bet 25 dollars free bet. Let's say your team wins 50% of the time to make it simple, so 100% return. If we do like 94% return on both multipliers, I think the math would be the same.

So 50% of the time you win 25 dollars = 12.5 dollars on average of EV

50% of the time you lose nothing cos it was a free bet = 0 dollars on average of EV

So you win 12.5 dollars on average every time you bet.

Then let's say you're getting 16:1 odds. 25 dollars free bet. So your team wins 1 out of 17 times, whatever percentage that is.

So 1 out of 17 times you win 400 dollars = 23.5294118 dollars on average of EV

16 out of 17 times you lose nothing cos free bet = 0 dollars of EV

So you win 23.5 dollars on average when you bet.

idk there's a chance I'm wrong, but there's my math.
this reasoning would be right if you didn't get your original stake back but i'm afraid that if you bet 25$ at evens, you get 50$back not 25$ so 50$ half the time and 0 the other half = 25$ of EV
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:24 PM   #5519
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Talking of free bets Pokerstars are doing bet £10 pre match on this Pool game (min odds 1.5) and get a free in play bet of £10.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:30 PM   #5520
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinarocket View Post
this reasoning would be right if you didn't get your original stake back but i'm afraid that if you bet 25$ at evens, you get 50$back not 25$ so 50$ half the time and 0 the other half = 25$ of EV
You don't get your stake back on free bets.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:32 PM   #5521
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Quote:
Originally Posted by DuckSauce View Post
Expect to see I've and lallana subbed like last game prob if they sputter offensively.
It makes no sense for Lallana and Coutinho to play at the same time. They do the exact same things in the same areas and get in each other's way.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:32 PM   #5522
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Re: English Football 2015/16

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Originally Posted by Tall Paul View Post
You don't get your stake back on free bets.
then raheem is right. lower odds bet depend more on the value of getting original stake back. if you don't get it back higher odds bet have more value
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:40 PM   #5523
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liverpool View Post
It makes no sense for Lallana and Coutinho to play at the same time. They do the exact same things in the same areas and get in each other's way.
holy **** you're wrong
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:43 PM   #5524
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Lallana shouldn't play because he sucks balls.
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Old 08-17-2015, 02:43 PM   #5525
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Re: English Football 2015/16

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liverpool View Post
It makes no sense for Lallana and Coutinho to play at the same time. They do the exact same things in the same areas and get in each other's way.
Yep, shocking Lallana gets another start.
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