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English Football 2015-16 - Leicester City won the league English Football 2015-16 - Leicester City won the league

03-09-2016 , 07:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinarocket
Bookies don't know that Spurs are lining up reserves. Neither do you.

My guess is that it will be a mix of regulars and reserves but the odds of 5/1 right now (or is it 5.0?) aren't the odds calculated with the assumption that Spurs are playing reserves that's just what you made up in your head.
Wat?

So you and I both think Spurs will field a weakened team, but somehow the bookies are oblivious to this and are therefore their odds do not represent the assumption that Spurs will field a weakened team?

Lol indeed.
03-09-2016 , 07:33 PM
you're both arguing the same point I think, the current odds are based on all available info which assumes spuds will not play a full strength team but nobody knows exactly what the lineups will be yet. If the team that lines up is all kids/reserves, then the odds drift out more; likewise if Toby, Kane, Alli etc are all in the starting XI then the odds go down. A full strength spuds team is lower than 5/1 to win in Dortmund and I don't think either of you is disagreeing with that point?
03-09-2016 , 08:20 PM
No i don't disagree, it's just that ElRazor thinks 5.0 are the odds that reflect the price of Spurs lining up a "reserves team" i.e. There's a chance that they play their best player, a mix of their best players and reserves or reserves only. But nobody knows for sure what team it's going to be and the price reflects for the uncertainty of the lineup so in no way it means that Spurs Reserves vs Dortmund = 5.0 so Spurs full team must be 3.50 vs Dortmund which was ElRazor's thought process. I am also of the opinion that Spurs at full strength being 3.50 away to Dortmund is lol.

For the record, the squad has been announced and some A team players were left out (Alli, Dier, Rose) and now the odds drifted to 6.0
Care to explain why it did if 5.0 was already accounting for the assumption that it'd be a reserves team?
03-09-2016 , 08:45 PM
is 5.0 part of the 5th integer multiplier or the 6th?
03-09-2016 , 09:47 PM
I don't know but you can't deny the momentum it carried from 4.9
03-10-2016 , 02:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinarocket
For the record, the squad has been announced and some A team players were left out (Alli, Dier, Rose) and now the odds drifted to 6.0
Care to explain why it did if 5.0 was already accounting for the assumption that it'd be a reserves team?
The fact you don't appear to know the difference between 5-1 and 5.0 renders further discussion pointless.

However, Spurs are still generally available at 5-1, so the market is meh towards Dier, Alli and Rose being left out (i.e. the market already suspected Spurs would not be full strength)

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/...ottenham/today

Quote:
Originally Posted by LostOstrich
A full strength spuds team is lower than 5/1 to win in Dortmund and I don't think either of you is disagreeing with that point?
Exactly, thank you.
03-10-2016 , 04:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elrazor
96/19

who can possibly think that's a good way to depict betting odds? lol england
03-10-2016 , 04:58 AM
Nevermind goddamit

Spoiler:
03-10-2016 , 06:38 AM
Most traders I know with rating systems have Dortmund as the 4th best side in the world so their price looks about right (Spurs are out to 7.0). Full strength Spurs probably go off around 5.5-6.0.
03-10-2016 , 06:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kevin21
Cheltenham next week!

Vroum Vroum!!
I keep refreshing Twitter to see what they're doing with Yorkhill.
03-10-2016 , 06:46 AM
£30 cap on price of away tickets happening. It's a start.

O/u 5 years before something is done to sort home fans ticket prices? Over imo.
03-10-2016 , 07:04 AM
hmm might be tempted to bet Spurs @7
03-10-2016 , 08:16 AM
edin hazard, riyad mahrez

q1) who is better

q2) who is worth more
03-10-2016 , 08:20 AM
Mahrez has the momentum going for him that's for sure
03-10-2016 , 08:37 AM
Who isn't better than Hazard atm?
03-10-2016 , 08:37 AM
about the same level
worth about the same(hazard more proven, mahrez more recency bias)
03-10-2016 , 08:48 AM
C: Michu
03-10-2016 , 09:13 AM
Mahrez and Mahrez imo, he's basically playing at the level Hazard was supposed to reach (and think he can maintain it).

Can't see mun/city not going gong ho over him this summer, maybe even Real, legit triple digit M's.
03-10-2016 , 09:30 AM
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 32 goals this season


Harry Kane only 20 goals


Dele Alli is suspended for Spurs
03-10-2016 , 09:47 AM
Bolton will continue to exist
03-10-2016 , 11:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Human Halo


He assists where he wants.
Arsenal really are gay.
03-10-2016 , 11:22 AM
you seem jelly.
03-10-2016 , 11:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Devil_Dave
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 32 goals this season


Harry Kane only 20 goals


Dele Alli is suspended for Spurs
But the Premiership is twice as hard, so:

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 32 goals

Harry Kane only 40 goals
03-10-2016 , 11:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cashy
you seem jelly.
Not at all,

If Ozil wants to wank Giroud off so be it
03-10-2016 , 11:25 AM
Wilfred, are you having a mental breakdown?

      
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