Quote:
Originally Posted by Lars1
masters in psychology, get tricked by own cognitive biases
And yet you're the one who thought just because "hot-hand" was disproved in basketball, that it was generalisable to all sports, all the time. FYI, when the debate threatened to get interesting.....
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elrazor
...and therein lies the problem of trying to apply statistics to open and closed skills. Closed skills like free-throws in basketball remove any number of extraneous variables that exist in an open skill, and are therefore infinitely easier to measure.
You can perform a closed skill in a familiar environment, repeat it in an unfamiliar environment and measure performance difference. With a supportive crown, a hostile crowd and no crowd. Just flip the independent variable and see how it affects performance.
Quote:
Originally Posted by fanerio
yeah heres the thing, lolelrazor
i do boldly assert that your education to date does not contain any element of understanding of probability distributions cos that stuff asserted is historically megalol and just fundamentally goes against any kind of nummeracy or scientific testing
i can assert purple alien ghosts who eat toast made from ether and it would be as testable as your momentum idea and contain as much signal
I guess you skipped the lecture on inductive reasoning? To recap, I can suggest momentum might be a thing (for example an amalgamation of form, team-spirit and collective efficacy) as I observe what I think might be a phenomenon, collect corroboratory evidence (statements from SAF, Wenger, Poch, Pep, etc), form a tentative hypothesis and develop a theory.
At that point, you can take a deductive approach and test that reasoning. But even a PhD wouldn't scratch the surface, so lol at trying to prove it to the internet.
Last edited by Elrazor; 02-22-2016 at 02:15 PM.