And of course it's "lol riverman what a douche," but THE GAME WAS OVER BEFORE THE BULL**** PASS INTERFERENCE CALL THAT EXTENDED THE GAME.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IMk5sMHj58I

BB didn't exactly sound real confident in the decision being correct either.

I think its a decent decision now, but close.. but I think he made some mistakes in regards to it.

yup

you bet your ass BB knows game theory

This is close, but not exactly right. If the Pats go for it on 4th down and miss, then Indianapolis will tend to score more quickly, meaning that New England will have a better chance of leading another drive of their own and winning the game even if the Colts score a TD.

Really, what we need ITT is someone who does a lot of live betting on exchanges. Does anyone know what the price was on the Colts after the Pats went for it on 4th down and missed? And where would you ballpark it after a punt? I'm guessing some of the sports betting pros that bet a lot on Matchbook would have a really, really good idea what B and C are. As for A, I'd say it's almost definitely between 60% and 65%.

I think the clock affected his decision. If they were just under 2 mins, he punts it. But punting it there effectively gives the Colts two TO's, and with a red hot Peyton, thats a pretty nasty advantage. Still think punting is the right move though since you are forcing the Colts to score from a much worse location.

Yeah, but he's much less of a lock from 70 yards out.

this

MT2R just derailing this with loltarded trollz.

I'm kinda torn on this one.

In general I agree with the consensus here that 4th and 1 or 2 should be gone for a LOT more often than it is in the NFL.

In this case, if the ball is at midfield, I definitely go. Maybe even from my own 40.

From my 28 I kick it and if Peyton goes 70-ish in two minutes I tip my cap.

The thing is, Peyton wasn't perfect tonight, he'd already been picked twice. What message does this send to the defense?...

1 IMO

stopping the Colts on 4 plays from the 2
<<<<<<<
letting them score and having 30 seconds with no TOs to get a FG

word. SE is like bizzaro SB. Greear and iggy outlogicing MT2R :P

I think it's the correct decision but what's more interesting to me will be the huge disparity between this 2p2 poll and the inevitable poll that will be run sometime this week by ESPN.

nope... people are focusing on the wrong decision

I'm sure the go for it on 4th is going to be real close.
However, letting the Colts score once they were at the 2 was easy peazy

Yeah you're right, but it's such a small amount that it's extremely hard to quantify.

If he punts there, I don't think you guys that are saying how smart it is would be jumping down his throat for NOT going for it there. When it was happening, the collective reaction was how big of balls BB had, not "well obv, x-2(x-.67) ainec"

I'm a stats guy and I thought it was incredibly stupid.

lol

Do the opposite of what your opponent wants. If you polled them, I am sure they would rather have had them punt, so they went for it. Perfect game theory imo.

I like it but agree that it's close and Bellichick maybe handled it wrong. Put the game on your team's shoulders and try to make a play instead of punting and praying that Manning doesn't rip you apart like he had on basically every other drive late in the game.

Grunch: Yes.

I think it was the right decision and it is not close. Here is my quick thinking:

Punt and try to stop Manning = 40%-60% win
-------------------

Go for it and convert = 60%
Go for it and miss, but still hold= 20%

60% + (40%*20) = 68%

WTF

The thing that gets me is that a coach finally has the guts to try something, and one of his former players is on TV immediately afterword saying that it was the worst decision that he has ever made.