Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
This whole episode proves beyond any doubt that most people, even very successful people, are ****ing ******ed and have no natural instinct towards critical thinking.
It's quite incredible. I'm in an email thread with some friends of mine, all of whom are incredibly smart and even critical thinkers of some sort. 1 is a Lawyer, 1 got 1600 SATs, 1 is football nut and 800 math SAT. Way above your typical sports mouthbreathers. First email was how horrible the decision was, and LOL Belichick. I show them the numbers (came up with on my own, and were even more slanted towards Indy than the website linked here), and it still came up as an easy decision. All three are telling me that the stats mean nothing, it was all emotion, and Indy scores
100% of the time after they fail when going for it.
You cannot give them the ball on the 28, no matter what. "Even if it is 4th and 1 inch, and you will make it 95% of the time?" Yes, even then it's foolish, you cannot take that chance.
Absolutely amazing what a different mindset there is out there. We will never understand it. And even if they are smart people, that mindset of being able to gamble when it makes sense just is not there. People do not want to make decisions that could result in bad things, and will make alternate worse decisions, as long as the bad consequences are more "indirect".