Conor McGregor vs. Floyd Mayweather (August 26th) - Page 104 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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Conor McGregor vs. Floyd Mayweather (August 26th)

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08-26-2017 , 02:42 PM

#2576

DodgerIrish

Fraudulent Zodiac

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 28,192

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

Will this thread be locked right after the fight ends? I really won't be able handle the harassment if Conor wins. Lol.

This thread is never getting locked.

They rarely do in SE.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:45 PM

#2577

K_2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 19,638

John Daly booostin teh parlays

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:47 PM

#2578

DisGunBGud

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

Quote:

Originally Posted by ouinosino

yeah i agree. but 20% is still too high to put my savings on it...especially on such an event. but gl to you guys backing floyd with huge amount of cash

The golden rule is don't bet what you can't afford to lose. If you're going to go to the circus might as well make it a grand ol time.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:51 PM

#2579

krawk

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 163

Is the Connor hate ITT due to boxing fans loving FM or simply hating MMA for not being an art but something only subhumans enjoy when not attending confederate rallies?

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:53 PM

#2580

stinkubus

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 4,422

The hate is only for Connor backers who think this is a legitimate contest.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:54 PM

#2581

DirDirDirty

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,574

Mayweather rounds 4-6 is +475 on bovada.

Each individual round of 4-6 is +1600. Am I missing something here or should I just bet each of the individual rounds and not the 3 round set?

120 to win 570
40/40/40 to win 640

Am I understanding this correctly?

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:55 PM

#2582

AngerPush

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 32,051

Yes

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:56 PM

#2583

DirDirDirty

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,574

Thanks

Quote

08-26-2017 , 02:58 PM

#2584

Herbavorus_Rex

adept

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 745

Not to rain on Conors parade, but it's very unlikely that Floyd is even the in the top 10 best 154lbers of all time.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:00 PM

#2585

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,805

Quote:

Originally Posted by ouinosino

yeah i agree. but 20% is still too high to put my savings on it...especially on such an event. but gl to you guys backing floyd with huge amount of cash

Books considered opening Floyd somewhere between 95%-98%. They ended up opening him around 95.5%, -2250, 22.5-1.

Then MMA bros went to work and the line dropped. However, most boxing experts/analysts consider the true odds more in the range of the opening line considerations, 95-98%, some even higher, with one saying that "Mayweather would literally be a tremendous value at 50-to-1." (98%+)

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:03 PM

#2586

insanity31

inanity

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 51,513

Quote:

Originally Posted by DirDirDirty

The +475 is slightly ($10 in this example) better. You'll lose two of the individual round wagers no matter what

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:04 PM

#2587

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by krawk

Is the Connor hate ITT due to boxing fans loving FM or simply hating MMA for not being an art but something only subhumans enjoy when not attending confederate rallies?

I despise Mayweather as a person. But that has nothing to do with betting on this fight.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:06 PM

#2588

krawk

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 163

Quote:

Originally Posted by stinkubus

The hate is only for Connor backers who think this is a legitimate contest.

What I don't get is how is this even a betting market? The best p4p ever vs some guy who's never been in a pro boxing bout in his life. How is this not a 30 sec or under KO all day every day? I mean if Tyson was fighting some MMA Joe Blow would anyone doubt this being over within a minute by lifelong brain damage?

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:08 PM

#2589

patron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 3,805

Quote:

Originally Posted by DirDirDirty

Quote:

Originally Posted by insanity31

The +475 is slightly ($10 in this example) better. You'll lose two of the individual round wagers no matter what

Insanity is correct. More work shown below:

$120 * 4.75 = $570 won, for a total return of $690

$40 on each of rounds 4/5/6 is:
$40 * 16 = $640 won, for a total return of $680
(put another way, it's $640 won - $80 lost + $120 initial bet = $680 total return)

So the individual 4/5/6 round bets is $10 worse on a $120 bet.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:08 PM

#2590

Herbavorus_Rex

adept

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 745

Quote:

Originally Posted by krawk

Tyson was a brawler. Floyd is a point fighter.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:09 PM

#2591

MediocrePlayer2.0

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 9,205

Quote:

Originally Posted by krawk

Is the Connor hate ITT due to boxing fans loving FM or simply hating MMA for not being an art but something only subhumans enjoy when not attending confederate rallies?

I love Connor and enjoy going to the bar to watch his fights. The fights vs Diaz were super entertaining.

The hate is because you can get Floyd -375 when he should be -2500.

Connor is shorter odds to win vs Floyd than most of his previous opponents who were elite boxers. How the **** does that make any sense?

Floyd hasn't beaten 49 tomato cans. There are multiple Hall of famer's that he's beaten with ease.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:09 PM

#2592

Herbavorus_Rex

adept

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 745

When Rocky Marciano posted an 8-4 amateur record, I doubt many thought he'd finish his career 49-0.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:18 PM

#2593

DirDirDirty

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,574

Quote:

Originally Posted by insanity31

The +475 is slightly ($10 in this example) better. You'll lose two of the individual round wagers no matter what

Quote:

Originally Posted by patron

Yep makes sense, I was forgetting to subtract the value from the lost individual rounds. Thanks guys.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:23 PM

#2594

Onlydo2days

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 19,309

You guys think it'll be harder/easier to get a stream for this?

With all the $ in this fight, would think they have the resources to shut a lot of streams down. And I can't justify paying $100 for this clown show.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:24 PM

#2595

krawk

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 163

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

I despise Mayweather as a person. But that has nothing to do with betting on this fight.

Yup, agree 100%. Btw grats on being a big part of getting the echo chamber poliforum nuked, loved your posts.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:27 PM

#2596

krawk

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 163

Quote:

Originally Posted by Herbavorus_Rex

Tyson was a brawler. Floyd is a point fighter.

"If I don't kill him, it don't count.", said FM never. Thank **** I can watch this for free on TV where I am.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:30 PM

#2597

BertieWooster

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 3,353

Quote:

Originally Posted by Onlydo2days

Lots of soccer streams were down today, with some speculating it's to do with the fight tonight.

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:40 PM

#2598

rockfsh

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 2,530

Wife just said, "If you're so confident, why didn't you put our life savings on FM?"

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:46 PM

#2599

stinkubus

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 4,422

"There'd be nothing left for you in the divorce if I'm wrong." LOL

Quote

08-26-2017 , 03:47 PM

#2600

GSV

banned

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 514

My heart with Conor, but my money on Floyd

win win

Quote

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