COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 - Page 2 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

Well I didn't make a thread because been having a rough couple of days and feeling a little too "down" to come up with (basically) jokes on the fly. A shame because Nebraska-Rutgers pretty much writes itself.

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09-21-2017 , 09:55 PM

#28

Holliday

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Bwahaha, Temple's coach really looks like he's hitting rock bottom out there. Imagine if he could see Joey Galloway isn't even bothering to wear pants!

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09-21-2017 , 10:03 PM

#29

pvn

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

Memphis is 2-0
won vs. UCLA
Plays: @ UCF, Navy, @Houston, AAC title game

memphis gonna run the table

goofball's model is ****ed up, he's got tulsa at 57 and memphis at 58 but tulsa a 2:1 favorite? seems ****ed up.

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09-21-2017 , 10:34 PM

#30

GoldenBears

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Nobody's model is gonna make any sense in Week 3.

Temple with 4 first downs and 6 turnovers lol

Averaging 1.1 yards per play, including 27 rushes for -21 yards

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09-21-2017 , 11:38 PM

#31

goofball

Beat Nate Silver

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 20,424

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holliday

Thanks, Goof, but where are you getting your start times? I don't mean the usual "Pacific Time Zone" question. Miss State-Georgia and Kentucky-Florida are both Primetime games.

Weird. This wasn't an update bug on my end but an error in my download from 5dimes. (get game times there soI can also grab lines obv).

Quote:

Originally Posted by pvn

memphis gonna run the table

goofball's model is ****ed up, he's got tulsa at 57 and memphis at 58 but tulsa a 2:1 favorite? seems ****ed up.

This bug turned out to subtle and tricky to fix. Thanks for spotting it! Numbers ought to be slightly more refined now.

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09-21-2017 , 11:45 PM

#32

schu_22

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Holliday

you pretty much write yourself

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09-22-2017 , 06:03 AM

#33

Jules22

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 4,156

I like Cal +17 at memorial, I feel like they lose by like 7-13 points since they play way better in half 2 so far this year

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09-22-2017 , 08:19 AM

#34

Zimmer4141

Wet

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,666

Quote:

Originally Posted by Booker Wolfbox

In thread game:

Goofball's Top 10 teams this week are: Alabama, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Clemson, Florida State, Michigan, Penn State, Miami (FL) and Virginia Tech.

For no prize, guess without research:

(1) How many of those teams are model-favored (goofball win probability >50%) in ALL of their remaining regular season games?

(2) Which teams are those?

I would guess 3 teams are favored in all remaining games. Alabama, Oklahoma State, and Clemson.

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09-22-2017 , 08:30 AM

#35

Zimmer4141

Wet

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 33,666

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

went all in last week, gamboooo less this week but still yolo

UNC +2.5
Navy -11.5
ND -3.5
Arkansas +2.5
GT -7
Toledo +411
Texas Tech ml +218

I like UNC, Toledo, Texas Tech.

Really don't like ND -3.5 on the road. Both teams had a blip season last year but I expect they should both be better this year. Don't really see much that would indicate that ND has been ~6.5 points stronger than Sparty this year.

Got a lot of lines I like this week. A smattering

Tennessee -28
Texas Tech +6.5 or +218
Florida St -13
Tulsa -10.5

Maryland -4 and Maryland/UCF Over 59
Wake Forest -5
Virginia Tech -28
North Carolina +1
Oklahoma State -12.5 (line of the week)

Washington State -28
Michigan State +3.5
Oregon -14 (strong contender with OKST for line of the week)
Colorado +11.5

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09-22-2017 , 08:55 AM

#36

Ineedaride2

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Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

Goofball, how hard would it be to pull and add the channel the game is coming on? Too aggravating?

And maybe the aggregate spread per game from oddshark or something? Don't know if that would be too much clutter, but it would be cool if that page was a one stop shop for most of the info people go looking for. I dunno.

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09-22-2017 , 09:09 AM

#37

HawkFanIA

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Ineedaride2

Idk how much of a PITA this would be, but it would be a welcome addition.

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09-22-2017 , 09:45 AM

#38

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

You should consider quitting your new job to focus on this blog. I've got a lot of stuff I'd like you to add.

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09-22-2017 , 09:59 AM

#39

Ineedaride2

Politics Court Jester

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 25,080

See for example, you could put a script in to geolocate the page visitor by IP and adjust the time zone based on this info.

See? It's so easy!

Last edited by Ineedaride2; 09-22-2017 at 10:00 AM. Reason: And honestly, how many people use Pacific time? 10? A dozen?

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09-22-2017 , 10:42 AM

#40

ReddBoiler

self-banned

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 35,507

You cant prepare for a style like Brohms. The speed, the power, the unpredictable style. The ferociousness. Hes gping to land his shots and put Michigan away. Its going to be a 4th round KO, mark my words.

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09-22-2017 , 02:17 PM

#41

goofball

Beat Nate Silver

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 20,424

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ineedaride2

Quote:

Originally Posted by HawkFanIA

Idk how much of a PITA this would be, but it would be a welcome addition.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ineedaride2

You should consider quitting your new job to focus on this blog. I've got a lot of stuff I'd like you to add.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ineedaride2

See for example, you could put a script in to geolocate the page visitor by IP and adjust the time zone based on this info.

See? It's so easy!

Fixed the game times. Re adding TV I started looking into that before this year but blogging time has been haaaard to come by (hence the lack of writing and mostly just posting data) thanks to that Job and also the pre-job-travelling.

The choice of pacific time is mostly just that I live in pacific time.

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09-22-2017 , 02:19 PM

#42

HawkFanIA

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thanks for what you do.

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09-22-2017 , 07:35 PM

#43

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,729

hey goof...your site has made the front page of r/cfb and its 275k+ followers

https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comment...lege/?sort=new

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09-22-2017 , 08:30 PM

#44

Booker Wolfbox

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Zimmer4141

I would guess 3 teams are favored in all remaining games. Alabama, Oklahoma State, and Clemson.

The answer when I checked was Alabama, Oklahoma (favored in Bedlam), Clempson ... and Michigan.

Apparently the error that produced that result has been corrected as Michigan is now a small dog to Penn State at Happy Valley. Whatever the issue was it apparently REALLY hated Penn State as it had Ohio State at 84% to win in Columbus. 84% against a top 10 team! Now it's a much more reasonable 64/36 in favor of the home team.

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09-22-2017 , 08:32 PM

#45

GoldenBears

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Jules22

I like Cal +17 at memorial, I feel like they lose by like 7-13 points since they play way better in half 2 so far this year

Don't love it

Our coaching has been sick this year, tons of defensive pressure on delayed blitzes and creative plays, really good playcalling on offense.

But we just don't have the dudes to hang with USC I don't think. No studs on this team athletically.

If anything, could see us hanging early before getting blown out in the end.

Could be just my fan pessimism from beating USC literally zero times in the 13 years that I have been a Cal fan.

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09-22-2017 , 08:33 PM

#46

Holliday

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Virginstablishing the run!

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09-22-2017 , 08:42 PM

#47

GoldenBears

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UVA looking pretty solid so far

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09-22-2017 , 08:50 PM

#48

Holliday

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Yeah and Boise's looked pretty meh or worse all season except for when they built up that big lead against Wazzu...

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09-22-2017 , 08:59 PM

#49

REDeYeS00

always sloppy

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 22,729

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

for years i've wanted Wilcox to come back home to Oregon. there's no doubt he is a great defensive mind and i'm conflicted to see him back in the PAC but i'm happy for him.

getting Baldwin, Azzinaro, and Greatwood as assistants is huge. what a great coaching staff. i'll be surprised if the Bears finish <0.500 this year, even with a perceived lack of talent.