Is this your first season watching baseball?
I've watched every closer other than John Smoltz just about fail in his closer role with the Braves. You can't tell me it was all physical issues with guys like Reistma, Wholers and others. So your saying the guy is just unlucky?
I didn't make any claims regarding Reitsma or Wohlers, did I?
Last year his K/bb was halfed.
2005: 103 K, 23 BB
2006: 104 K, 36 BB
He walked more people. Now ask yourself: how much of his increase in ERA (the stat you claim shows he performed worse) was due to the increase in BBs? You can't ignore all of the other aspects of the results, including things that were out of his control.
Since the Pujols playoff game he hasn't been the same, same can be said for a lot of closers who "just haven't been the same" since 1 rediculous playoff appearance or appearances.
"Just hasn't been the same" is meaningless. More meaningful is "lost a little velocity on his fastball, walked more batters, and got monumentally unlucky". You shouldn't attribute all of the outcome to the tiny slice of the inputs you've chosen to observe.
I don't know what else to tell you.
How about you tell me where you did your calculations demonstrating that the increased percentage of HRs per flyball and worse batting average on balls in play were due to his lack of confidence and "just not being the same", as opposed to being pure bad luck as these stats have been shown to be in the past by various baseball analysts? Oh, you don't have any facts. You only have slogans.
I'll put the pitcher where he can succeed.
Send him down to AA. He'll succeed for sure. Who cares if it helps the team or hurts them.
You act like Wheeler has been horrible since he started, I know it's a short sample size but let him pitch himself into the position or out of it.
You can't evaluate whether someone is "pitching themselves into" a position if you don't know how to attribute results to their actual performance.
Same can be said for Lidge. He pitched himself out of the starting closer role.
But this is where you're wrong. YOU NEED TO STRIP HIS BAD LUCK OUT OF HIS RESULTS!!!! YOU DON'T FIRE PEOPLE FOR THINGS OUT OF THEIR CONTROL!!!!
Maybe he can get it back but who cares as long as the teams winning.
Results oriented thinking for the win! "Who cares if I went all-in on a 3-outer. I won!"