Brad Lidge - rut roh - Page 22 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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05-23-2009 , 06:51 PM

#526

Poofler

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 7,364

He's done for the year. Maybe he'll do some Budhist **** and miraculously work again in 2010.

Quote

05-23-2009 , 06:51 PM

#527

Karak

ELIte

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 62,726

BOOM

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05-24-2009 , 04:15 PM

#528

g-bebe

because robots are strong

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 22,860

Quote

05-24-2009 , 04:16 PM

#529

Poofler

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 7,364

Quote:

Originally Posted by Poofler

He's done for the year. Maybe he'll do some Budhist **** and miraculously work again in 2010.

Quote

05-24-2009 , 04:18 PM

#530

Russ M.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 27,877

lol

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05-25-2009 , 12:21 AM

#531

Rubeskies

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,704

Lol, only giving up 1 run lowered Lidge's ERA.

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05-25-2009 , 12:24 AM

#532

Coff

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 8,929

Ugh

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05-27-2009 , 09:29 AM

#533

En Passant

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,761

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index...lidges-issues/

Quote:

Of all of the pitchers struggling on the Phillies, Brad Lidge is the most surprising. A glance at the relievers’ WAR board has Lidge firmly at the bottom of the totem pole; something unimaginable just a few months ago. Lidge’s 9.15 ERA is a scrambled mess of the 1.95 ERA posted last year. Lidge’s important metrics aren’t fairing too well either.

About 32% of the batters to step to the plate against Lidge last year went down via strikeout. That number is down to 21% this year. Fewer pitches are being thrown inside of the zone, and far less first-strikes are being recorded, leaving Lidge down in most counts. Batters are still swinging out of the zone at about the same rate but Lidge is still getting fewer strikes overall. When he is throwing pitches in the zone, batters are making contact at a ridiculously high rate. Lidge’s career Z-Contact% is 74.5%, this year it’s 86.4%.

Of the 29 hits given up, 12 have gone for extra bases, including six homeruns and doubles apiece. Lidge’s BABIP is a rotund .400. Combining this information, it would be easy to infer that Lidge is having a ton of line drives hit against him, yet this is simply not the case. His line drive percentage is at 16.7%, lower than last season or his career total. The Phillies defense is middle of the pack in UZR and BABIP against, which suggests Lidge is an outlier, that or the story lies beneath the numbers.

Looking at the pitch data, Lidge’s pitch usage is roughly the same, but velocity on his fastball is down just a bit. Lidge’s slider is still moving about the same, as is his fastball, which raises all kinds of questions about why both pitches are being hit harder than before. Our linear weights have Llidge’s fastball at -5.51 runs per 100 pitches and his slider at 0.27 per 100; last year Lidge’s fastball was worth -0.53 runs per 100 pitches and his slider 2.5 runs per 100. So again, what’s the deal here?

Per Baseball-Reference, Lidge’s fly balls have resulted in three doubles, the same amount as his line drives allowed. Lidge has a .192 fly ball BABIP against while his line drive BABIP against is .900. If those numbers seem high, well, they are. Major League average for fly ball BABIP is .143 this year; .725 for line drives. Either Lidge is unlucky, is being hit harder than the league average pitcher – which the homeruns support, although not the line drive percentage – or a combination.

Until we get more data to suggest otherwise, I’m going to assume Lidge will be fine, but he’s an interesting case none the less.

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05-27-2009 , 12:14 PM

#534

prohornblower

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 38,283

Tipping his pitches?

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05-27-2009 , 01:24 PM

#535

En Passant

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,761

I remember there was talk of that back when he was in Houston. However, someone reported that the Phillies hitters sat down at looked at the video and couldn't find anything indicating that he's tipping his pitches.

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06-06-2009 , 01:34 AM

#536

eviljeff

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 8,485

bump for Dodger baseball!

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06-06-2009 , 01:37 AM

#537

Francis_MH

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 10,386

Quote:

Originally Posted by eviljeff

bump for Dodger baseball!

Pedro Feliz and the umpire calling strikes balls was the cause imo.

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06-06-2009 , 07:14 PM

#538

another_rack

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 9,458

Too soon?

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06-06-2009 , 07:20 PM

#539

g-bebe

because robots are strong

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 22,860

he's been royally ****ing me over this year in FBB

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06-06-2009 , 07:22 PM

#540

DCIAce

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 9,540

Quote:

Originally Posted by g-bebe

he's been royally ****ing me over this year in FBB

Me too, I can't believe I drafted him ahead of Broxton.

My entire FBB team is LA-homer-tastic, but nooo.

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06-09-2009 , 03:24 PM

#541

silentbob

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 2,595

Rut rorororororororoh.

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06-09-2009 , 03:48 PM

#542

DCIAce

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 9,540

[ ] Real Injury

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06-09-2009 , 04:31 PM

#543

SMIGLET

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 14,838

how long is he expected to be out?

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06-28-2009 , 04:09 PM

#544

g-bebe

because robots are strong

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 22,860

could be another one in the making right now

actually i'm trying to jinx it so he actually gets a save, F the jays

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06-28-2009 , 04:11 PM

#545

g-bebe

because robots are strong

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 22,860

wooooooooo

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06-28-2009 , 06:35 PM

#546

Coff

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 8,929

oooooooop

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08-11-2009 , 10:40 PM

#547

insanity31

inanity

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 51,508

**** you lidge

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08-11-2009 , 11:34 PM

#548

▬▬▬▬▬▬

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 5,007

still won

but yeah this is getting old

I guess this is what we get for him running mega-hot last year and winning the WS, but I didn't expect it to be this bad.