and another offseason topic, one that i probably shouldn't get into until the SCF is over seeing as how T is the biggest CBA guy around here iirc, is one of the next year's salary cap. big Bob reported that if the CBA structure doesn't change,
the ceiling will move to $70.3m. but as we all know, the CBA structure probably will change. to what? who knows...
recent CBA battles saw the following outcomes in revenue splits.
NFL: ~50/50
NBA: ~51.15% players
MLB: 50/50?
could be wrong about the MLB one, couldn't really find anything specific on that. and as with the NHL split, there are variables that make them inexact / subject to change, etc. right now the NHL is currently...
NHL: The players' share will be 54% to the extent League revenues in any year are below $2.2 billion; 55% when League revenues are between $2.2 billion and $2.4 billion; 56% when League revenues are between $2.4 billion and $2.7 billion, and 57% when League revenues in any year exceed $2.7 billion.
big Bob says next year that'd mean a ceiling of $70.3m/team.
Hypothetical fun
Throwing out those fun-killing “it could all change completely” for a second, Cap Geek breaks down how much cap space each team would have at this moment if the ceiling indeed goes to $70.3 million.
For the fun of it, here are the five teams with the lowest amounts of would-be space:
5. Buffalo Sabres: $11.76 million in cap space (based on 19-player roster)
4. Boston Bruins: $11.27M (18)
3. Pittsburgh Penguins: $10.73M (18)
2. Philadelphia Flyers: $9.08M (20)
1. Chicago Blackhawks: $8.81M (22)
Conversely, here are the five teams that would have the most space remaining:
1. Colorado Avalanche: $46.84M (9)
2. Nashville Predators:: $38.15M (12)
3. Phoenix Coyotes: $35.44M (17)
4. St. Louis Blues: $34.04M (16)
5. Winnipeg Jets: $33.43M (14)
i think the owners will battle the players until they lower their cut to 50-52%, in line with where the other leagues are. so if i'm right, and that's where the split ends up, the cap ceiling will be somewhere closer to $65.09m (50% for the players) to 67.7m (52% for the players).
but then again, i also wouldn't be stunned to see some agreement reached where the ceiling is raised, and the floor is lowered slightly. not sure if some of the teams at the bottom can keep up with spending like this, and that might be one of the fights (or perhaps a luxury tax threshold combined with increased revenue sharing for the have-nots). and last CBA note, apparently Donald Fehr doesn't sound too interested in the idea of rollbacks on existing contracts for the players this time around. he intimated agreeing to the 24% rollback without running it past the PA as a whole was why the last guy lost his job, and that the players won't be making those kind of sacrifices again.
but in any case, i'd probably really like to be one of the big UFA's this summer, or any UFA really. even the "capped out" teams could theoretically be in a position to toss a $7.5m/year offer to Suter, Parise, or whoever without much, if any, maneuvering.