Been avoiding this thread like the plague until now. Here I am.
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Originally Posted by JaredL
I think it's variance and ****ty goaltending but you're absolutely right that the Flyers ran the Pens' skaters ragged. I think you're overrating Tampa Bay last year, they weren't all that great on the power play. I think they just got hot at the right time, as they say.
Definitely with you on not getting it at all.
I just have a difficult time chalking it all up to variance and run bad when they get scored on practically at will two years in a row on the PK. If they massively underperform again next year are we going to just chalk it up to variance again?
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They weren't great this series, no doubt, but I strongly disagree with most of this. Martin was so shockingly bad in his few games to make me question my view of him being decent enough to play beside Letang. That doesn't take dazzling play just not ****ting the bed but he was incapable of getting close to that level. Still, I think you're overrating what second and third pairing guys typically bring to the table. I don't think we can get those results with Crosby missing so much time and Staal missing 20 games, not to mention last year, with the defensemen being close to what you describe. I think blue-line depth is actually a big strength on the team.
Some of it was probably an overreaction on my part. Orpik and Martin were just horrendous this year though, and Michalek hasn't been a whole lot better. Perhaps it's just an expectations thing. I expected this group to be a lot better than they've been. On the bright side, I love our bottom pairing. I still think one of Martin / Orpik / Michalek need to go though. There's too much money invested in the three of them for the results we're seeing, and we're pretty loaded with NHL caliber D as it is.
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For some evidence of this, the Flyers' 5-on-5 shot rate in the series was 23.8 shots per 60 minutes. That's third lowest in the playoffs so far. In the regular season they were at 31.3. That's not the be all end all or anything, and I do think there is a shot-quality argument to be made here because there were some terrible turnovers, allowed breakaways and good ol' fashioned standing around leaving guys free to tuck in the awful rebounds Fleury was giving up but at the very least they did a pretty good job at suppressing shots. And yeah, that's all time and not just tied but the Pens were up for a lot of the series.
Right. I think the shot quality argument here is rather strong, and I think anybody who watched the series can attest to that. I would agree that their 5 on 5 play wasn't particularly bad though, it was their efforts on the PK that lost us the series. What were our shot suppression numbers like there? I'm legitimately curious, small sample size or not.
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You know what makes defensemen look bad? Their goalie giving up a goal every five shots.
We can agree here.