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08-10-2025 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by roymunson888
Brewers do not quit, like zombies. Every at bat is a nightmare vs them. They must just feel they are going to win at this point.
Natural 9 in a row.

There are 2 certainties in this thread.

Roymunson will post excellently.
Txdome, well, you guys all know.
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08-10-2025 , 10:33 PM
Cubs 9th inning down 1 was quite a thing

PCA due to leadoff

Pinch hit turner for PCA for some inexplicable reason

Turner flies out

Happ walks

Pinch run Berti for happ

Immediately Berti is caught stealing

CHALLENGE!

It has no effect

Hoener singles

Swanson singles

Shaw ends the game
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08-10-2025 , 11:12 PM
Paul Goldschmidt is 47-50 in his last 50 SB attempts over several years, and he's in the top 40 in career SB%.
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08-11-2025 , 12:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
But some of that is projecting what they'll do the rest of the year....

Also, were those the numbers when I made the post? Ohtani has been on a tear since then and I would put him as the favourite now.
It was Vince Carter over when we saw that his arm was fine and his stuff was electric. July was Ohtani's worst month by wRC+ this year, but he's gone nuclear since then and now back on track with expectation. Everyone else was a pretender. Somebody file a missing person report on PCA who has dropped to 4th in the MVP odds and fading fast.
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08-11-2025 , 03:02 PM
If I were to put money on anyone taking mvp it’s probably tatis

Doyers look mid as **** and the dads are on fire. Assuming they continue on this trajectory and tatis is even slightly improved rest of the way I definitely see him snaking it
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08-11-2025 , 07:51 PM
Tatis isn’t even the MVP of that team, Machado is. Manny has been carrying them all year.
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08-11-2025 , 09:05 PM
Carlos Cortes of the A's played right field in the 8th inning yesterday left handed and third base in the 9th inning right handed.
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08-11-2025 , 10:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by StoppedRainingMen
If I were to put money on anyone taking mvp it’s probably tatis

Doyers look mid as **** and the dads are on fire. Assuming they continue on this trajectory and tatis is even slightly improved rest of the way I definitely see him snaking it
There are 23 guys in the NL with a higher OPS than Tatis. If you think he is going to win the MVP, and you can find a book that still has him on the board, you should be able to get 500 to 1 odds.
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08-12-2025 , 03:55 AM
I'll be happy to be wrong about Raleigh's second half (predicted 10 homers). He is still ripping ... 7 in 3 weeks since the break. That 3-run homer the other night down 2-0 in the 8th, in a playoff push, feels like MVP stuff.

I hope he pushes 60. What is considered the highest non-steroid homer total ... Judge's 62?

How is he defensively as a catcher? It looks about average?
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08-12-2025 , 05:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by roymunson888
Brewers do not quit, like zombies. Every at bat is a nightmare vs them. They must just feel they are going to win at this point.
https://www.mlb.com/news/jacob-misio...er-brewers-win

I don't think this was a coincidence. Locality in quantum mechanics suggests that events can be linked across vast distances .... I also think the main catalysts of randomness and luck are not fully understood.

Cliffs:

- The Brewers are real
- The Miz is now a Pokemon Master
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08-12-2025 , 08:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
There are 23 guys in the NL with a higher OPS than Tatis. If you think he is going to win the MVP, and you can find a book that still has him on the board, you should be able to get 500 to 1 odds.
Tatis has 17 home runs and 46 RBIs. Good luck with that when Ohtani already has 42 home runs.

I know he's got a competitive WAR, but when some has almost as many home runs as you have RBIs you're not beating them for MVP. I don't see his defense getting him that much in terms of votes when his traditional offensive stats are so far behind.
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08-12-2025 , 08:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
Tatis has 17 home runs and 46 RBIs. Good luck with that when Ohtani already has 42 home runs.

I know he's got a competitive WAR, but when some has almost as many home runs as you have RBIs you're not beating them for MVP. I don't see his defense getting him that much in terms of votes when his traditional offensive stats are so far behind.
Also, the people who vote on baseball MVP don't care about WAR.
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08-12-2025 , 09:20 AM
The sports radio in the area is so good with the Mets and Yankees faltering.
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08-13-2025 , 01:03 AM
I actually think Shohei has a chance at the all time home run record.

In some ways, it's a very vulnerable record.

Hank Aaron was consistent, but his career high is 47.

Barry Bonds only had 292 home runs through his age 30 season. Shohei looks like he'll have about 280. Bonds didn't have a great start in terms of being a home run king, and then he got walked a ridiculous amount that stopped him from making the record out of reach. And then he was sort of forced out of the league when he was still a great hitter, so his total of 762 stayed in reach.

Shohei is near the Bonds pace despite his own early career slowdowns (japan play, injuries, COVID shortened season). But now he's looking like he'll be a 50+ type homer guy in his prime. So far, every MLB player who was a 50+ type prime guy had his career total weakened one way or another. McGwire and Sosa and Griffey lack longevity at least for their number of 'crushing it' years, Ruth missed some years pitching, and Judge got a late start.

There's never been the perfect career for a massive home run total. Guys like Arod and Pujols fizzled out or lost time to suspensions. They still had massive totals but they didn't reach what it appeared they would at their halfway points. Nobody has ever started early, had a monster prime, and had a solid and long career.

If Ohtani hits the way he has over the last 2 years for another 4 years, he'll be at 500 after age 34 with 4 years left on his Dodger contract. With his work ethic who knows what could happen.
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08-13-2025 , 01:25 AM
He was also so mad tonight that he hit into a triple play, that he homered his very next at bat.

You wouldn't like Ohtani when he's angry...
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08-13-2025 , 04:20 AM
I triple plays

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08-13-2025 , 08:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
I actually think Shohei has a chance at the all time home run record.

In some ways, it's a very vulnerable record.

Hank Aaron was consistent, but his career high is 47.

Barry Bonds only had 292 home runs through his age 30 season. Shohei looks like he'll have about 280. Bonds didn't have a great start in terms of being a home run king, and then he got walked a ridiculous amount that stopped him from making the record out of reach. And then he was sort of forced out of the league when he was still a great hitter, so his total of 762 stayed in reach.

Shohei is near the Bonds pace despite his own early career slowdowns (japan play, injuries, COVID shortened season). But now he's looking like he'll be a 50+ type homer guy in his prime. So far, every MLB player who was a 50+ type prime guy had his career total weakened one way or another. McGwire and Sosa and Griffey lack longevity at least for their number of 'crushing it' years, Ruth missed some years pitching, and Judge got a late start.

There's never been the perfect career for a massive home run total. Guys like Arod and Pujols fizzled out or lost time to suspensions. They still had massive totals but they didn't reach what it appeared they would at their halfway points. Nobody has ever started early, had a monster prime, and had a solid and long career.

If Ohtani hits the way he has over the last 2 years for another 4 years, he'll be at 500 after age 34 with 4 years left on his Dodger contract. With his work ethic who knows what could happen.
The problem is roided out Bonds hit his prime way later than people do naturally because of being on PEDs. His highest WAR and HR season was when he was 36. And he played til 42 even though he last 3 seasons HR wise was really just one above average (for him) season of HRs.

I guess it is possible since we've seen someone like Brady play at a high level at an older age, but almost every player starts fizzling out in their early 30s. Arod might've been because he was off of PEDs, and I think Pujols was because he never was happy in LA. I might be speculating with that one, but what he did the last year back in St. Louis, I really do wonder what his overall career would look like if he never left.

Also Ohtani has had a few injuries and has been lucky to play through them. That happens 3 or 4 years from now, I'm not sure, and if he actually pitches full time, he's going to actually get hurt to where he can't even bat.
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08-13-2025 , 09:30 AM
Giancarlo Stanton got 4 hits yesterday, including a very long homerun, and now he's hitting .300 for the season.

Dude has been legit one of the best hitters last few weeks.
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08-13-2025 , 09:47 AM
He's getting close to 500 HR too.

Hall-of-fame swing for sure.
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08-13-2025 , 10:52 AM
Quote:
We're heading into the final stretch of the season: the last 40 games before the playoffs.

As of right now:

The Tigers are still recovering from a state of freefall
The Guardians are on a trajectory to win the Central
The Brewers are the World Series favorites
The Dodgers are a late inning collapse away from being knocked out of the Division Round
The Mets are a disaster and in some ways an absolute disgrace
The Yankees are a nightly comedy drama. Aaron Boone is still the worst manager in the game.
The Pirates are commiting the worst crime of any team by not re-working Paul Skenes contract
The Rockies are a cosmic mystery to me. I have no idea where they're heading in the next 5 years.
The Padres and Blue Jays are trending up
The Phillies are a Juggernaut in short series matchups. Can they win a 7 game series is the question.
(x-post from elsewhere)

anything 7-1 or better til the end of the season will be a +McValue bet on The Brewers to ship
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08-13-2025 , 11:49 AM
I'm still confused how I got the Pads at 35/1 in June and then double down 25/1 in July. Not monster bets, but I'll take a few grand for no effort, other than barely being able to watch games.
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08-13-2025 , 11:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by txdome
I'm still confused how I got the Pads at 35/1 in June and then double down 25/1 in July. Not monster bets, but I'll take a few grand for no effort, other than barely being able to watch games.
Hasn't it been their MO for the past few seasons to have momentum and potential and then suffer collapse?
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08-13-2025 , 12:04 PM
Say what now... Ny Mets and too many homeruns?

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/19eumigBJm
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08-13-2025 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tuma
Hasn't it been their MO for the past few seasons to have momentum and potential and then suffer collapse?
King, Pivetta, and Cease is the best playoff rotation in baseball, or simply best rotation. And throw Yu with Nestor in there. Sorry M's you're not close as far as rotations and not going to do **** even if you do win the West. If the Astros ever get a healthy Yordong back, they have a super scary lineup. Astros aren't going deep in playoffs, but still better than the Mariners.

Last edited by txdome; 08-13-2025 at 06:04 PM.
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08-13-2025 , 06:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by philurivey
Say what now... Ny Mets and too many homeruns?

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/19eumigBJm
Last nights game was a good time. Even gave back the lead to scare everyone again but they kept coming. While it was great, I'm not sure one win a month is going to cut it. Unsure.
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