2024 NFL Off-season Thread - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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02-12-2024 , 09:49 AM

StoppedRainingMen

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02-12-2024 , 11:03 AM

madlex

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Full list of DraftKings odds to win the 2025 Superbowl.

+2500 for the Jets if you believe in Aaron Rodgers.

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02-12-2024 , 11:09 AM

PokerHero77

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Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 5,788

Bears 30:1, interesting. Fields finally living up to the hype?

Rams 35:1 totally ignores their run this year. Must have close to zero draft capital.

JAC 30:1 has to be some kind of a joke.

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02-12-2024 , 11:11 AM

Hellmuth was right

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 5,803

Quote:

Originally Posted by madlex

+2500 for the Jets if you believe in Aaron Rodgers.

id much rather bet the jets at 25-1 than the dolphins at 17-1 or cowboys at 20-1 who are both drawing dead to ever winning anything. they have a lower floor but higher ceiling than both of those teams

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02-12-2024 , 11:20 AM

madlex

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Originally Posted by PokerHero77

Bears 30:1, interesting. Fields finally living up to the hype?

That's the one number that stood out to me. Does the market think they trade the #1 pick and keep Fields?

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02-12-2024 , 11:30 AM

newguyhere

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Originally Posted by Hellmuth was right

$100 last longer for next season, I'll take the Phins and you can have the Jets?

*If both teams miss playoffs, best record wins.

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02-12-2024 , 11:31 AM

PokerHero77

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Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 5,788

Quote:

Originally Posted by madlex

That's the one number that stood out to me. Does the market think they trade the #1 pick and keep Fields?

Yeah, basically 2 scenarios priced in. IMO 30:1 is pretty short for a new QB stepping in with lack of a notable QB whisperer on the staff.

I don't know if Fields is off his rookie deal but either way Bears should be loaded absent missing the draft completely.

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02-12-2024 , 11:36 AM

madlex

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Originally Posted by newguyhere

$100 last longer for next season, I'll take the Phins and you can have the Jets?

*If both teams miss playoffs, best record wins.

That's a totally different bet though, especially if you also use regular season record in case both teams lose in the same playoff round.

Hellmuth was right is saying that Jets have a higher chance to suck than the Dolphins/Cowboys but also a higher chance to win the title. So if you guys want to bet it should be a push if neither team wins the SB.

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerHero77

I don't know if Fields is off his rookie deal but either way Bears should be loaded absent missing the draft completely.

This is year 4 for Fields now. By May the team has to exercise his 5th year option.

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02-12-2024 , 11:44 AM

newguyhere

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Quote:

Originally Posted by madlex

Hellmuth was right is saying that Jets have a higher chance to suck than the Dolphins/Cowboys but also a higher chance to win the title. So if you guys want to bet it should be a push if neither team wins the SB.

I'm down for that as well.

Hellmuth,

Which do you prefer, my original bet above for $100, or $100 on either team winning the SB?

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02-12-2024 , 11:58 AM

#10

Hellmuth was right

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Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 5,803

Quote:

Originally Posted by newguyhere

I'm down for that as well.

Hellmuth,

Which do you prefer, my original bet above for $100, or $100 on either team winning the SB?

dolphins have a much higher floor than the Jets they are likely going win 8 games min so i would not want to do the first bet.

we can do the second bet but change it to either team wins the AFC, $100 qtb

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02-12-2024 , 12:01 PM

#11

newguyhere

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Hellmuth was right

dolphins have a much higher floor than the Jets they are likely going win 8 games min so i would not want to do the first bet.

we can do the second bet but change it to either team wins the AFC, $100 qtb

confirmed gl

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02-12-2024 , 11:20 PM

#12

72off

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29ers offseason favs huh? i believe in bork

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02-12-2024 , 11:33 PM

#13

Onlydo2days

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dallas is the best value on that board, yeah i said it

top 5 team all yr, top 2 in conf, divi sucks

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02-12-2024 , 11:43 PM

#14

GusJohnsonGOAT

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Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 15,813

I agree with the Cowboys sentiment especially considering you have the Failcons at 35/1. You shitting me with that? Also Houston is not winning the SB next year cause they still lack a lot of talent, and I also think GB is a year off, as well. They are the one team that could actually win there.

Is the NFL futures market the biggest -EV market on the planet? I always look at these odds and am like these are way too short.

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02-13-2024 , 07:07 AM

#15

feel wrath

The Situation

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 29,873

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerHero77

Saying the Bears should be loaded next season is ambitious. They had two Pro Bowlers this season.

They have a few decent pieces on D but they’re losing their leading rusher assuming they trade Fields and they have 1 WR

Anyone can hit gold in the draft but it’s far more likely they won’t

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02-13-2024 , 07:23 AM

#16

BOIDS

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with the understanding that no one ever got rich by betting on the browns and jets, i like the browns +3500 and jets +2500

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02-13-2024 , 02:15 PM

#17

Booker Wolfbox

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Quote:

Originally Posted by PokerHero77

Rams 35:1 totally ignores their run this year. Must have close to zero draft capital.

Thought I saw that the Rams have a first round pick for the first time since 2016.

LOL Rams.

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02-13-2024 , 02:16 PM

#18

Booker Wolfbox

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The line that makes the least sense to me is 1. Chargers +2500. They're in cap hell, getting old and yeah Herbert is great but he's only one piece.

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02-13-2024 , 02:38 PM

#19

madlex

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Booker Wolfbox

Thought I saw that the Rams have a first round pick for the first time since 2016.

They do. And apparently a very long list of needs. Feels like every mock draft has them address a different position in the first round. Including a couple that have them pick QB.

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02-13-2024 , 02:43 PM

#20

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Originally Posted by PokerHero77

JAC 30:1 has to be some kind of a joke.

Then it's a perfect one because I'm not sure which way you're finding it funny.

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02-13-2024 , 05:30 PM

#21

PokerHero77

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Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 5,788

Quote:

Originally Posted by RT

Then it's a perfect one because I'm not sure which way you're finding it funny.

You could get far better than 30:1 just parlaying their 4 post season games if they somehow make the playoffs.

I haven't seen any division odds but their implied is about 4:5, which seems far too low.

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02-13-2024 , 05:34 PM

#22

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Originally Posted by PokerHero77

You could get far better than 30:1 just parlaying their 4 post season games if they someehow make the playoffs.

I haven't seen any division odds but their implied is about 4:5, which seems far too low.

I dont think any AFCS team is worth a bet other than HOU. They're all awful.

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02-13-2024 , 05:56 PM

#23

GusJohnsonGOAT

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Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 15,813

Quote:

Originally Posted by RT

I dont think any AFCS team is worth a bet other than HOU. They're all awful.

I would bet Houston and probably Indy before Jacksonville right now. Titans could be the worst team in the NFL next year but 30/1 on Jacksonville is not a good bet at all.