My breakdown of the Bolts-Leafs series based on series betting lines.
Before Game 1:
EV - given that TML had home-ice advantage, Vegas/market either felt home ice doesn't matter, or TB was a slightly better team.
Before Game 3:
EV - now it's 1-1 and TB has home-ice advantage. The line hasn't moved. So either home ice doesn't matter, or after 2 games, Vegas/market have decided TML is the slightly better team.
I feel like it is going to be a close game tonight but I don't know, Tampa is home and Toronto moved their lines around and Spezza is playing tonight supposedly. Ugly rumor of Holl playing, oh no! LOL.